Recent forecasts from sources including timeanddate.com, AccuWeather, and BBC Weather indicate Chengdu highs around 29–32°C on June 15, 2026, under partly to mostly cloudy skies with moderate humidity typical of the early East Asian monsoon season. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 31°C or below (69.5%) and 32°C (17.5%), as numerical weather prediction models show no strong subtropical ridge or clear-sky conditions needed for rapid daytime heating. Chengdu’s Sichuan Basin location often promotes afternoon cloud build-up that caps temperatures, consistent with climatological averages near 30–31°C for mid-June. The steep drop in implied probabilities above 33°C reflects the low likelihood of atypical clear, subsiding air or anomalous warm advection in current model runs.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Chengdu on June 15?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on June 15?
31°C or below 70%
32°C 18%
33°C 9%
34°C 3.4%
最新
$17,954 交易量
最新
$17,954 交易量
2026-06-15
31°C or below
70%
32°C
18%
33°C
9%
34°C
3%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
31°C or below 70%
32°C 18%
33°C 9%
34°C 3.4%
最新
$17,954 交易量
最新
$17,954 交易量
2026-06-15
31°C or below
$4,652 交易量
70%
32°C
$1,677 交易量
18%
33°C
$1,097 交易量
9%
34°C
$1,854 交易量
3%
35°C
$3,027 交易量
<1%
36°C
$2,346 交易量
<1%
37°C
$1,263 交易量
<1%
38°C
$647 交易量
<1%
39°C
$528 交易量
<1%
40°C
$548 交易量
<1%
41°C or higher
$442 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including timeanddate.com, AccuWeather, and BBC Weather indicate Chengdu highs around 29–32°C on June 15, 2026, under partly to mostly cloudy skies with moderate humidity typical of the early East Asian monsoon season. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 31°C or below (69.5%) and 32°C (17.5%), as numerical weather prediction models show no strong subtropical ridge or clear-sky conditions needed for rapid daytime heating. Chengdu’s Sichuan Basin location often promotes afternoon cloud build-up that caps temperatures, consistent with climatological averages near 30–31°C for mid-June. The steep drop in implied probabilities above 33°C reflects the low likelihood of atypical clear, subsiding air or anomalous warm advection in current model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 13, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
交易量
$17,954結束日期
2026-06-15市場開放時間
Jun 13, 2026, 12:11 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including timeanddate.com, AccuWeather, and BBC Weather indicate Chengdu highs around 29–32°C on June 15, 2026, under partly to mostly cloudy skies with moderate humidity typical of the early East Asian monsoon season. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 31°C or below (69.5%) and 32°C (17.5%), as numerical weather prediction models show no strong subtropical ridge or clear-sky conditions needed for rapid daytime heating. Chengdu’s Sichuan Basin location often promotes afternoon cloud build-up that caps temperatures, consistent with climatological averages near 30–31°C for mid-June. The steep drop in implied probabilities above 33°C reflects the low likelihood of atypical clear, subsiding air or anomalous warm advection in current model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$17,954結束日期
2026-06-15市場開放時間
Jun 13, 2026, 12:11 AM ETRecent forecasts from sources including timeanddate.com, AccuWeather, and BBC Weather indicate Chengdu highs around 29–32°C on June 15, 2026, under partly to mostly cloudy skies with moderate humidity typical of the early East Asian monsoon season. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 31°C or below (69.5%) and 32°C (17.5%), as numerical weather prediction models show no strong subtropical ridge or clear-sky conditions needed for rapid daytime heating. Chengdu’s Sichuan Basin location often promotes afternoon cloud build-up that caps temperatures, consistent with climatological averages near 30–31°C for mid-June. The steep drop in implied probabilities above 33°C reflects the low likelihood of atypical clear, subsiding air or anomalous warm advection in current model runs.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions