Forecast models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and German Weather Service indicate a daytime maximum near 22°C in Munich today under moderate westerly flow, partly cloudy skies, and limited solar heating, producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 21°C and 23°C. Ensemble spreads of roughly ±1°C reflect uncertainty in exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift the peak by a degree depending on whether brief showers develop or clearer intervals allow additional warming. Historical June averages near 21–22°C provide context, yet current steering patterns and surface observations favor the slightly higher end of the narrow range without pushing probabilities decisively above 23°C. Updated model runs and official observations through the afternoon will likely tighten resolution as the peak is approached.