Recent ensemble forecasts from the German Weather Service and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts indicate a highest temperature in Munich on June 16 near 22–24 °C under a stable westerly flow with partial cloud cover and light winds, keeping surface heating modest. This consensus, reflected in the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes, stems from limited diurnal temperature range and minimal advection of warmer air masses. Variability arises from small differences in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing across model runs, which could shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C. Historical June climatology shows typical highs of 21–23 °C, providing context for the current positioning as traders weigh the latest model guidance ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Munich on June 16?
23°C 31%
22°C 29%
24°C 20%
21°C 13%
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
4%
21°C
13%
22°C
29%
23°C
31%
24°C
20%
25°C
2%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
23°C 31%
22°C 29%
24°C 20%
21°C 13%
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
4%
21°C
13%
22°C
29%
23°C
31%
24°C
20%
25°C
2%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent ensemble forecasts from the German Weather Service and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts indicate a highest temperature in Munich on June 16 near 22–24 °C under a stable westerly flow with partial cloud cover and light winds, keeping surface heating modest. This consensus, reflected in the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes, stems from limited diurnal temperature range and minimal advection of warmer air masses. Variability arises from small differences in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing across model runs, which could shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C. Historical June climatology shows typical highs of 21–23 °C, providing context for the current positioning as traders weigh the latest model guidance ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions