Trader sentiment for Toronto's June 14 peak temperature centers on the low-20s Celsius range, with 22–24°C outcomes commanding over 77% combined implied probability, driven by official forecasts from Environment and Climate Change Canada and the Weather Network projecting a high near 22°C amid a cooler-than-average mid-month air mass. Recent model consensus highlights increased cloud cover, possible light showers, and modest southwesterly flow limiting daytime heating below seasonal norms of 24°C, while slight variations in timing of any clearing or humidity levels create tight spreads among adjacent outcomes. Historical analogs for early June under similar synoptic patterns show highs rarely exceeding 25°C, underscoring the low probabilities assigned to warmer thresholds. Updated afternoon observations and revised model runs will refine resolution as the day progresses.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月14日多倫多氣溫最高?
23°C 35%
22°C 25%
24°C 22%
21°C 9%
$17,312 交易量
$17,312 交易量
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
3%
21°C
9%
22°C
25%
23°C
35%
24°C
22%
25°C
7%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
23°C 35%
22°C 25%
24°C 22%
21°C 9%
$17,312 交易量
$17,312 交易量
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
3%
21°C
9%
22°C
25%
23°C
35%
24°C
22%
25°C
7%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jun 12, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Trader sentiment for Toronto's June 14 peak temperature centers on the low-20s Celsius range, with 22–24°C outcomes commanding over 77% combined implied probability, driven by official forecasts from Environment and Climate Change Canada and the Weather Network projecting a high near 22°C amid a cooler-than-average mid-month air mass. Recent model consensus highlights increased cloud cover, possible light showers, and modest southwesterly flow limiting daytime heating below seasonal norms of 24°C, while slight variations in timing of any clearing or humidity levels create tight spreads among adjacent outcomes. Historical analogs for early June under similar synoptic patterns show highs rarely exceeding 25°C, underscoring the low probabilities assigned to warmer thresholds. Updated afternoon observations and revised model runs will refine resolution as the day progresses.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions