An incoming heatwave driven by a strong upper-level ridge and 14–16°C positive temperature anomalies at the 850 hPa level over Puget Sound is positioning Seattle for daytime highs well above the early-June normal of ~71°F. Official forecasts from local outlets and model consensus, including recent ECMWF runs, point to a peak near 89–91°F on June 15, with potential to approach or exceed the 1963 daily record of 88°F. Marine air moderation and any late-day cloud development introduce modest downside risk, while stronger offshore flow or clearer skies could push readings into the low 90s. These verified atmospheric conditions explain why market-implied probabilities concentrate on the 86–93°F bins, reflecting traders’ assessment of forecast guidance and resolution criteria for the daily maximum at official reporting stations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月15日西雅圖的最高溫度？
6月15日西雅圖的最高溫度？
90-91°F 37%
88-89°F 27%
86-87°F 20%
92-93°F 9.7%
最新
最新
2026-06-15
83°F或以下
3%
84-85°F
5%
86-87°F
20%
88-89°F
27%
90-91°F
37%
92-93°F
10%
94-95°F
3%
96-97華氏度
1%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
<1%
華氏102度或更高
<1%
90-91°F 37%
88-89°F 27%
86-87°F 20%
92-93°F 9.7%
最新
最新
2026-06-15
83°F或以下
$200 交易量
3%
84-85°F
$106 交易量
5%
86-87°F
$270 交易量
20%
88-89°F
$106 交易量
27%
90-91°F
$169 交易量
37%
92-93°F
$134 交易量
10%
94-95°F
$114 交易量
3%
96-97華氏度
$167 交易量
1%
98-99°F
$127 交易量
<1%
100-101°F
$183 交易量
<1%
華氏102度或更高
$181 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.An incoming heatwave driven by a strong upper-level ridge and 14–16°C positive temperature anomalies at the 850 hPa level over Puget Sound is positioning Seattle for daytime highs well above the early-June normal of ~71°F. Official forecasts from local outlets and model consensus, including recent ECMWF runs, point to a peak near 89–91°F on June 15, with potential to approach or exceed the 1963 daily record of 88°F. Marine air moderation and any late-day cloud development introduce modest downside risk, while stronger offshore flow or clearer skies could push readings into the low 90s. These verified atmospheric conditions explain why market-implied probabilities concentrate on the 86–93°F bins, reflecting traders’ assessment of forecast guidance and resolution criteria for the daily maximum at official reporting stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
交易量
$1,592結束日期
2026-06-15市場開放時間
Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.An incoming heatwave driven by a strong upper-level ridge and 14–16°C positive temperature anomalies at the 850 hPa level over Puget Sound is positioning Seattle for daytime highs well above the early-June normal of ~71°F. Official forecasts from local outlets and model consensus, including recent ECMWF runs, point to a peak near 89–91°F on June 15, with potential to approach or exceed the 1963 daily record of 88°F. Marine air moderation and any late-day cloud development introduce modest downside risk, while stronger offshore flow or clearer skies could push readings into the low 90s. These verified atmospheric conditions explain why market-implied probabilities concentrate on the 86–93°F bins, reflecting traders’ assessment of forecast guidance and resolution criteria for the daily maximum at official reporting stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,592結束日期
2026-06-15市場開放時間
Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ETAn incoming heatwave driven by a strong upper-level ridge and 14–16°C positive temperature anomalies at the 850 hPa level over Puget Sound is positioning Seattle for daytime highs well above the early-June normal of ~71°F. Official forecasts from local outlets and model consensus, including recent ECMWF runs, point to a peak near 89–91°F on June 15, with potential to approach or exceed the 1963 daily record of 88°F. Marine air moderation and any late-day cloud development introduce modest downside risk, while stronger offshore flow or clearer skies could push readings into the low 90s. These verified atmospheric conditions explain why market-implied probabilities concentrate on the 86–93°F bins, reflecting traders’ assessment of forecast guidance and resolution criteria for the daily maximum at official reporting stations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions