Current ensemble forecasts for Amsterdam on June 16 point to a daytime maximum of 21–23°C under south-easterly flow, light rain, and moderate winds that limit afternoon heating. This narrow range explains why traders assign nearly identical probabilities to 22°C and 23°C. Model spread arises mainly from small differences in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift the peak by 1°C. Mid-June climatology (typical highs near 19–20°C) and the absence of strong high-pressure blocking keep extremes unlikely, keeping the 24°C+ outcomes at low single digits while reinforcing the tight clustering around the central forecast values.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Amsterdam on June 16?
22°C 36%
23°C 33%
24°C 24%
21°C 6%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
5%
20°C
4%
21°C
6%
22°C
36%
23°C
33%
24°C
24%
25°C
2%
26°C or higher
1%
22°C 36%
23°C 33%
24°C 24%
21°C 6%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
5%
20°C
4%
21°C
6%
22°C
36%
23°C
33%
24°C
24%
25°C
2%
26°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jun 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current ensemble forecasts for Amsterdam on June 16 point to a daytime maximum of 21–23°C under south-easterly flow, light rain, and moderate winds that limit afternoon heating. This narrow range explains why traders assign nearly identical probabilities to 22°C and 23°C. Model spread arises mainly from small differences in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift the peak by 1°C. Mid-June climatology (typical highs near 19–20°C) and the absence of strong high-pressure blocking keep extremes unlikely, keeping the 24°C+ outcomes at low single digits while reinforcing the tight clustering around the central forecast values.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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