**Trader consensus heavily favors a 26°C high in Seoul on June 14, 2026, at 99.9% implied probability.** This positioning reflects real-time data from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-range forecasts and observational networks, which consistently project a daytime maximum near that threshold under current atmospheric conditions. Mid-June climatology in Seoul typically features highs of 24–28°C as the East Asian summer monsoon onset approaches, with model consensus showing stable subtropical high pressure and light winds limiting further warming or cooling. Recent observations confirm temperatures tracking close to forecast guidance without significant deviations from ensemble runs. The only realistic scenarios that could alter the outcome involve rapid afternoon cloud build-up or localized precipitation suppressing the peak by 1–2°C, though current stability in steering patterns and humidity profiles makes such shifts improbable before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月14日首爾最高溫度？
6月14日首爾最高溫度？
26°C 99.8%
28°C <1%
29°C或以上 <1%
19°C或以下 <1%
$230,879 交易量
$230,879 交易量
2026-06-14
19°C或以下
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
100%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C或以上
<1%
26°C 99.8%
28°C <1%
29°C或以上 <1%
19°C或以下 <1%
$230,879 交易量
$230,879 交易量
2026-06-14
19°C或以下
$1,573 交易量
<1%
20°C
$337 交易量
<1%
21°C
$1,418 交易量
<1%
22°C
$1,991 交易量
<1%
23°C
$12,660 交易量
<1%
24°C
$22,487 交易量
<1%
25°C
$26,912 交易量
<1%
26°C
$43,345 交易量
100%
27°C
$46,905 交易量
<1%
28°C
$37,630 交易量
<1%
29°C或以上
$35,630 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors a 26°C high in Seoul on June 14, 2026, at 99.9% implied probability.** This positioning reflects real-time data from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-range forecasts and observational networks, which consistently project a daytime maximum near that threshold under current atmospheric conditions. Mid-June climatology in Seoul typically features highs of 24–28°C as the East Asian summer monsoon onset approaches, with model consensus showing stable subtropical high pressure and light winds limiting further warming or cooling. Recent observations confirm temperatures tracking close to forecast guidance without significant deviations from ensemble runs. The only realistic scenarios that could alter the outcome involve rapid afternoon cloud build-up or localized precipitation suppressing the peak by 1–2°C, though current stability in steering patterns and humidity profiles makes such shifts improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$230,879結束日期
2026-06-14市場開放時間
Jun 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors a 26°C high in Seoul on June 14, 2026, at 99.9% implied probability.** This positioning reflects real-time data from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-range forecasts and observational networks, which consistently project a daytime maximum near that threshold under current atmospheric conditions. Mid-June climatology in Seoul typically features highs of 24–28°C as the East Asian summer monsoon onset approaches, with model consensus showing stable subtropical high pressure and light winds limiting further warming or cooling. Recent observations confirm temperatures tracking close to forecast guidance without significant deviations from ensemble runs. The only realistic scenarios that could alter the outcome involve rapid afternoon cloud build-up or localized precipitation suppressing the peak by 1–2°C, though current stability in steering patterns and humidity profiles makes such shifts improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$230,879結束日期
2026-06-14市場開放時間
Jun 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ET**Trader consensus heavily favors a 26°C high in Seoul on June 14, 2026, at 99.9% implied probability.** This positioning reflects real-time data from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-range forecasts and observational networks, which consistently project a daytime maximum near that threshold under current atmospheric conditions. Mid-June climatology in Seoul typically features highs of 24–28°C as the East Asian summer monsoon onset approaches, with model consensus showing stable subtropical high pressure and light winds limiting further warming or cooling. Recent observations confirm temperatures tracking close to forecast guidance without significant deviations from ensemble runs. The only realistic scenarios that could alter the outcome involve rapid afternoon cloud build-up or localized precipitation suppressing the peak by 1–2°C, though current stability in steering patterns and humidity profiles makes such shifts improbable before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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