**Trader sentiment for Cape Town’s June 16 maximum temperature centers on 18–19 °C, with market-implied probabilities of 29.5 % for 18 °C and 37.5 % for 19 °C, followed by 20 °C at 19.5 %.** These closely matched outcomes reflect the narrow range typical of winter maximums in the region and the influence of short-term forecast adjustments. Current model guidance, including BBC and timeanddate ensembles, points to a post-frontal high-pressure setup with sunny intervals and moderate south-easterly winds, supporting daytime highs near 18 °C (roughly 64–65 °F). This aligns with climatological June averages of 18–19 °C while allowing modest warming under clear skies after earlier cold fronts. Key differentiating factors include the precise strength and timing of the south-easter (stronger winds can suppress or enhance coastal warming via adiabatic effects), cloud cover from any lingering moisture, and the exact peak solar heating window. Minor model spread in these variables explains the tight clustering between 18 °C and 20 °C outcomes rather than wider dispersion. Upcoming official updates from the South African Weather Service and refined numerical weather prediction runs over the next 24–48 hours will likely sharpen the distinction among these leading bins.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Cape Town on June 16?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on June 16?
19°C 38%
18°C 32%
20°C 20%
17°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-06-16
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
7%
18°C
32%
19°C
38%
20°C
20%
21°C
2%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
19°C 38%
18°C 32%
20°C 20%
17°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-06-16
14°C or below
$27 交易量
<1%
15°C
$18 交易量
1%
16°C
$341 交易量
1%
17°C
$137 交易量
7%
18°C
$183 交易量
32%
19°C
$17 交易量
38%
20°C
$35 交易量
20%
21°C
$21 交易量
2%
22°C
$55 交易量
<1%
23°C
$102 交易量
<1%
24°C or higher
$160 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Cape Town’s June 16 maximum temperature centers on 18–19 °C, with market-implied probabilities of 29.5 % for 18 °C and 37.5 % for 19 °C, followed by 20 °C at 19.5 %.** These closely matched outcomes reflect the narrow range typical of winter maximums in the region and the influence of short-term forecast adjustments.
Current model guidance, including BBC and timeanddate ensembles, points to a post-frontal high-pressure setup with sunny intervals and moderate south-easterly winds, supporting daytime highs near 18 °C (roughly 64–65 °F). This aligns with climatological June averages of 18–19 °C while allowing modest warming under clear skies after earlier cold fronts. Key differentiating factors include the precise strength and timing of the south-easter (stronger winds can suppress or enhance coastal warming via adiabatic effects), cloud cover from any lingering moisture, and the exact peak solar heating window. Minor model spread in these variables explains the tight clustering between 18 °C and 20 °C outcomes rather than wider dispersion.
Upcoming official updates from the South African Weather Service and refined numerical weather prediction runs over the next 24–48 hours will likely sharpen the distinction among these leading bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 14, 2026, 1:09 AM ET
交易量
$1,024結束日期
2026-06-16市場開放時間
Jun 14, 2026, 1:09 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Cape Town’s June 16 maximum temperature centers on 18–19 °C, with market-implied probabilities of 29.5 % for 18 °C and 37.5 % for 19 °C, followed by 20 °C at 19.5 %.** These closely matched outcomes reflect the narrow range typical of winter maximums in the region and the influence of short-term forecast adjustments.
Current model guidance, including BBC and timeanddate ensembles, points to a post-frontal high-pressure setup with sunny intervals and moderate south-easterly winds, supporting daytime highs near 18 °C (roughly 64–65 °F). This aligns with climatological June averages of 18–19 °C while allowing modest warming under clear skies after earlier cold fronts. Key differentiating factors include the precise strength and timing of the south-easter (stronger winds can suppress or enhance coastal warming via adiabatic effects), cloud cover from any lingering moisture, and the exact peak solar heating window. Minor model spread in these variables explains the tight clustering between 18 °C and 20 °C outcomes rather than wider dispersion.
Upcoming official updates from the South African Weather Service and refined numerical weather prediction runs over the next 24–48 hours will likely sharpen the distinction among these leading bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,024結束日期
2026-06-16市場開放時間
Jun 14, 2026, 1:09 AM ET**Trader sentiment for Cape Town’s June 16 maximum temperature centers on 18–19 °C, with market-implied probabilities of 29.5 % for 18 °C and 37.5 % for 19 °C, followed by 20 °C at 19.5 %.** These closely matched outcomes reflect the narrow range typical of winter maximums in the region and the influence of short-term forecast adjustments. Current model guidance, including BBC and timeanddate ensembles, points to a post-frontal high-pressure setup with sunny intervals and moderate south-easterly winds, supporting daytime highs near 18 °C (roughly 64–65 °F). This aligns with climatological June averages of 18–19 °C while allowing modest warming under clear skies after earlier cold fronts. Key differentiating factors include the precise strength and timing of the south-easter (stronger winds can suppress or enhance coastal warming via adiabatic effects), cloud cover from any lingering moisture, and the exact peak solar heating window. Minor model spread in these variables explains the tight clustering between 18 °C and 20 °C outcomes rather than wider dispersion. Upcoming official updates from the South African Weather Service and refined numerical weather prediction runs over the next 24–48 hours will likely sharpen the distinction among these leading bins.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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Frequently Asked Questions