Current forecast models from the Met Office and ECMWF indicate overnight minimum temperatures in London on June 16 will likely settle in the 15–16°C range, reflecting a transition to more typical early-summer conditions following May’s record warmth. Key variables include the strength of any nocturnal radiative cooling under partly clear skies, light westerly or southwesterly winds limiting mixing, and modest Atlantic moisture moderating extremes. Ensemble spreads allow for 14°C if clearer, calmer conditions develop or 17°C if increased cloud cover or stronger flow arrives, creating the tight market split. Official guidance updates over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月16日倫敦的最低溫度?
15°C 39%
16°C 35%
14°C 20%
17°C 17%
11°C或以下
1%
12°C
5%
13°C
5%
14°C
20%
15°C
39%
16°C
35%
17°C
17%
18°C
3%
19°C
10%
20°C
2%
21°C或更高
<1%
15°C 39%
16°C 35%
14°C 20%
17°C 17%
11°C或以下
1%
12°C
5%
13°C
5%
14°C
20%
15°C
39%
16°C
35%
17°C
17%
18°C
3%
19°C
10%
20°C
2%
21°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jun 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecast models from the Met Office and ECMWF indicate overnight minimum temperatures in London on June 16 will likely settle in the 15–16°C range, reflecting a transition to more typical early-summer conditions following May’s record warmth. Key variables include the strength of any nocturnal radiative cooling under partly clear skies, light westerly or southwesterly winds limiting mixing, and modest Atlantic moisture moderating extremes. Ensemble spreads allow for 14°C if clearer, calmer conditions develop or 17°C if increased cloud cover or stronger flow arrives, creating the tight market split. Official guidance updates over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions