Recent Met Office and ECMWF model consensus, combined with real-time station observations across Greater London, has locked in an overnight minimum of 13 °C as the most probable outcome. Clear skies, light winds, and radiative cooling under a stable high-pressure regime allowed temperatures to fall to this level without significant Atlantic moderation or cloud cover that would otherwise raise the floor. Historical June climatology places typical London lows near 12–14 °C, providing additional context for the tight clustering. Only an unforecasted surge in wind, unexpected fog formation, or a last-minute measurement revision at the official recording site could realistically shift the result outside the narrow 13 °C band now priced at 99.3 % implied probability.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月14日倫敦的最低溫度？
6月14日倫敦的最低溫度？
13°C 99.3%
12°C <1%
11°C <1%
7°C或以下 <1%
$14,976 交易量
$14,976 交易量
2026-06-14
7°C或以下
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
99%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C或以上
<1%
13°C 99.3%
12°C <1%
11°C <1%
7°C或以下 <1%
$14,976 交易量
$14,976 交易量
2026-06-14
7°C或以下
$790 交易量
<1%
8°C
$733 交易量
<1%
9°C
$539 交易量
<1%
10°C
$743 交易量
<1%
11°C
$1,864 交易量
<1%
12°C
$1,204 交易量
<1%
13°C
$4,778 交易量
99%
14°C
$1,712 交易量
<1%
15°C
$1,002 交易量
<1%
16°C
$1,026 交易量
<1%
17°C或以上
$585 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and ECMWF model consensus, combined with real-time station observations across Greater London, has locked in an overnight minimum of 13 °C as the most probable outcome. Clear skies, light winds, and radiative cooling under a stable high-pressure regime allowed temperatures to fall to this level without significant Atlantic moderation or cloud cover that would otherwise raise the floor. Historical June climatology places typical London lows near 12–14 °C, providing additional context for the tight clustering. Only an unforecasted surge in wind, unexpected fog formation, or a last-minute measurement revision at the official recording site could realistically shift the result outside the narrow 13 °C band now priced at 99.3 % implied probability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$14,976結束日期
2026-06-14市場開放時間
Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and ECMWF model consensus, combined with real-time station observations across Greater London, has locked in an overnight minimum of 13 °C as the most probable outcome. Clear skies, light winds, and radiative cooling under a stable high-pressure regime allowed temperatures to fall to this level without significant Atlantic moderation or cloud cover that would otherwise raise the floor. Historical June climatology places typical London lows near 12–14 °C, providing additional context for the tight clustering. Only an unforecasted surge in wind, unexpected fog formation, or a last-minute measurement revision at the official recording site could realistically shift the result outside the narrow 13 °C band now priced at 99.3 % implied probability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$14,976結束日期
2026-06-14市場開放時間
Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent Met Office and ECMWF model consensus, combined with real-time station observations across Greater London, has locked in an overnight minimum of 13 °C as the most probable outcome. Clear skies, light winds, and radiative cooling under a stable high-pressure regime allowed temperatures to fall to this level without significant Atlantic moderation or cloud cover that would otherwise raise the floor. Historical June climatology places typical London lows near 12–14 °C, providing additional context for the tight clustering. Only an unforecasted surge in wind, unexpected fog formation, or a last-minute measurement revision at the official recording site could realistically shift the result outside the narrow 13 °C band now priced at 99.3 % implied probability.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions