Recent model consensus from agencies like the Japan Meteorological Agency points to a low of 17–18°C in Tokyo on June 16 amid the onset of the tsuyu rainy season, where increased cloud cover, higher humidity, and potential precipitation suppress nighttime radiative cooling below seasonal averages near 19–20°C. Current atmospheric patterns, including a persistent trough and moderating sea-surface temperatures in the northwest Pacific, favor this range over warmer outliers or sharper drops. Short-term ensemble forecasts show limited spread, with updates expected from regional models within 48 hours that could refine probabilities around these market-implied peaks.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月16日東京最低溫度？
6月16日東京最低溫度？
18°C 39%
17°C 35%
16°C 14%
19°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-06-16
13°C或以下
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
4%
16°C
14%
17°C
35%
18°C
48%
19°C
11%
20°C
3%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C或以上
<1%
18°C 39%
17°C 35%
16°C 14%
19°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-06-16
13°C或以下
$135 交易量
1%
14°C
$184 交易量
1%
15°C
$16 交易量
4%
16°C
$16 交易量
14%
17°C
$35 交易量
35%
18°C
$24 交易量
48%
19°C
$16 交易量
11%
20°C
$23 交易量
3%
21°C
$30 交易量
1%
22°C
$160 交易量
1%
23°C或以上
$0 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from agencies like the Japan Meteorological Agency points to a low of 17–18°C in Tokyo on June 16 amid the onset of the tsuyu rainy season, where increased cloud cover, higher humidity, and potential precipitation suppress nighttime radiative cooling below seasonal averages near 19–20°C. Current atmospheric patterns, including a persistent trough and moderating sea-surface temperatures in the northwest Pacific, favor this range over warmer outliers or sharper drops. Short-term ensemble forecasts show limited spread, with updates expected from regional models within 48 hours that could refine probabilities around these market-implied peaks.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$631結束日期
2026-06-16市場開放時間
Jun 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from agencies like the Japan Meteorological Agency points to a low of 17–18°C in Tokyo on June 16 amid the onset of the tsuyu rainy season, where increased cloud cover, higher humidity, and potential precipitation suppress nighttime radiative cooling below seasonal averages near 19–20°C. Current atmospheric patterns, including a persistent trough and moderating sea-surface temperatures in the northwest Pacific, favor this range over warmer outliers or sharper drops. Short-term ensemble forecasts show limited spread, with updates expected from regional models within 48 hours that could refine probabilities around these market-implied peaks.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$631結束日期
2026-06-16市場開放時間
Jun 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ETRecent model consensus from agencies like the Japan Meteorological Agency points to a low of 17–18°C in Tokyo on June 16 amid the onset of the tsuyu rainy season, where increased cloud cover, higher humidity, and potential precipitation suppress nighttime radiative cooling below seasonal averages near 19–20°C. Current atmospheric patterns, including a persistent trough and moderating sea-surface temperatures in the northwest Pacific, favor this range over warmer outliers or sharper drops. Short-term ensemble forecasts show limited spread, with updates expected from regional models within 48 hours that could refine probabilities around these market-implied peaks.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions