Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and supporting models indicate Tokyo’s overnight minimum on June 14 will settle at 21 °C under stable high pressure and light northerly flow. This aligns with the seasonal transition out of the rainy season, when typical daily lows range 19–22 °C, and recent model runs show minimal spread around that value. With official observations now confirming the threshold and little time remaining before market resolution, traders have converged on 21 °C at essentially 100 % implied probability. Only an unexpected late surge in cloud cover or a localized urban-heat-island anomaly could push the reading outside the implied band, though neither is supported by current data.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月14日東京最低溫度？
6月14日東京最低溫度？
21°C 100.0%
16°C或以下 <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$21,454 交易量
$21,454 交易量
2026-06-14
16°C或以下
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
是
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C或以上
否
21°C 100.0%
16°C或以下 <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$21,454 交易量
$21,454 交易量
2026-06-14
16°C或以下
$713 交易量
否
17°C
$1,896 交易量
否
18°C
$1,143 交易量
否
19°C
$2,449 交易量
否
20°C
$2,107 交易量
否
21°C
$6,400 交易量
是
22°C
$3,586 交易量
否
23°C
$1,454 交易量
否
24°C
$1,055 交易量
否
25°C
$350 交易量
否
26°C或以上
$300 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and supporting models indicate Tokyo’s overnight minimum on June 14 will settle at 21 °C under stable high pressure and light northerly flow. This aligns with the seasonal transition out of the rainy season, when typical daily lows range 19–22 °C, and recent model runs show minimal spread around that value. With official observations now confirming the threshold and little time remaining before market resolution, traders have converged on 21 °C at essentially 100 % implied probability. Only an unexpected late surge in cloud cover or a localized urban-heat-island anomaly could push the reading outside the implied band, though neither is supported by current data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$21,454結束日期
2026-06-14市場開放時間
Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and supporting models indicate Tokyo’s overnight minimum on June 14 will settle at 21 °C under stable high pressure and light northerly flow. This aligns with the seasonal transition out of the rainy season, when typical daily lows range 19–22 °C, and recent model runs show minimal spread around that value. With official observations now confirming the threshold and little time remaining before market resolution, traders have converged on 21 °C at essentially 100 % implied probability. Only an unexpected late surge in cloud cover or a localized urban-heat-island anomaly could push the reading outside the implied band, though neither is supported by current data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$21,454結束日期
2026-06-14市場開放時間
Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and supporting models indicate Tokyo’s overnight minimum on June 14 will settle at 21 °C under stable high pressure and light northerly flow. This aligns with the seasonal transition out of the rainy season, when typical daily lows range 19–22 °C, and recent model runs show minimal spread around that value. With official observations now confirming the threshold and little time remaining before market resolution, traders have converged on 21 °C at essentially 100 % implied probability. Only an unexpected late surge in cloud cover or a localized urban-heat-island anomaly could push the reading outside the implied band, though neither is supported by current data.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions