Recent JMA forecasts for Tokyo on June 15 project a minimum temperature of 17°C under rainy, cloudy conditions tied to the early tsuyu monsoon season, which suppresses daytime heating and radiative cooling overnight. This aligns with seasonal norms near 18.7°C and supports the market's heavy weighting toward 18°C (49%) and 19°C (32.5%), with 17°C at 19%. Ensemble model consensus and historical June climatology favor this range, though minor shifts in cloud cover or frontal timing could nudge readings by 1°C. Resolution will hinge on official JMA station data, with next model updates expected to refine probabilities ahead of the daily low.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月15日東京最低氣溫？
6月15日東京最低氣溫？
18°C 46%
19°C 36%
17°C 21%
16°C 5.3%
最新
最新
2026-06-15
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
5%
17°C
19%
18°C
46%
19°C
36%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
18°C 46%
19°C 36%
17°C 21%
16°C 5.3%
最新
最新
2026-06-15
13°C or below
$535 交易量
<1%
14°C
$1,012 交易量
<1%
15°C
$568 交易量
1%
16°C
$126 交易量
5%
17°C
$71 交易量
19%
18°C
$137 交易量
46%
19°C
$216 交易量
36%
20°C
$539 交易量
<1%
21°C
$886 交易量
<1%
22°C
$592 交易量
<1%
23°C or higher
$387 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent JMA forecasts for Tokyo on June 15 project a minimum temperature of 17°C under rainy, cloudy conditions tied to the early tsuyu monsoon season, which suppresses daytime heating and radiative cooling overnight. This aligns with seasonal norms near 18.7°C and supports the market's heavy weighting toward 18°C (49%) and 19°C (32.5%), with 17°C at 19%. Ensemble model consensus and historical June climatology favor this range, though minor shifts in cloud cover or frontal timing could nudge readings by 1°C. Resolution will hinge on official JMA station data, with next model updates expected to refine probabilities ahead of the daily low.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 13, 2026, 12:34 AM ET
交易量
$4,989結束日期
2026-06-15市場開放時間
Jun 13, 2026, 12:34 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent JMA forecasts for Tokyo on June 15 project a minimum temperature of 17°C under rainy, cloudy conditions tied to the early tsuyu monsoon season, which suppresses daytime heating and radiative cooling overnight. This aligns with seasonal norms near 18.7°C and supports the market's heavy weighting toward 18°C (49%) and 19°C (32.5%), with 17°C at 19%. Ensemble model consensus and historical June climatology favor this range, though minor shifts in cloud cover or frontal timing could nudge readings by 1°C. Resolution will hinge on official JMA station data, with next model updates expected to refine probabilities ahead of the daily low.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,989結束日期
2026-06-15市場開放時間
Jun 13, 2026, 12:34 AM ETRecent JMA forecasts for Tokyo on June 15 project a minimum temperature of 17°C under rainy, cloudy conditions tied to the early tsuyu monsoon season, which suppresses daytime heating and radiative cooling overnight. This aligns with seasonal norms near 18.7°C and supports the market's heavy weighting toward 18°C (49%) and 19°C (32.5%), with 17°C at 19%. Ensemble model consensus and historical June climatology favor this range, though minor shifts in cloud cover or frontal timing could nudge readings by 1°C. Resolution will hinge on official JMA station data, with next model updates expected to refine probabilities ahead of the daily low.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions