Recent Météo-France forecasts and supporting numerical weather prediction models indicate high pressure over the Paris region on June 14, 2026, with mostly clear skies and light winds favoring a daytime maximum near 25°C. This stable synoptic setup, following earlier variability in model guidance, has driven overwhelming trader consensus toward the 25°C outcome at 99.7% implied probability. Historical June averages around 22–24°C provide context, while the market reflects skin-in-the-game aggregation of forecast uncertainty. A realistic challenge could arise from unexpected model revisions, localized urban heat effects pushing observations to 26°C, or measurement timing at official stations, though current consensus makes such shifts improbable before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Paris on June 14?
Highest temperature in Paris on June 14?
25°C 99.7%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
20°C or below <1%
$109,450 交易量
$109,450 交易量
2026-06-14
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
100%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 99.7%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
20°C or below <1%
$109,450 交易量
$109,450 交易量
2026-06-14
20°C or below
$3,004 交易量
<1%
21°C
$561 交易量
<1%
22°C
$2,550 交易量
<1%
23°C
$8,477 交易量
<1%
24°C
$36,474 交易量
<1%
25°C
$15,513 交易量
100%
26°C
$12,666 交易量
<1%
27°C
$12,949 交易量
<1%
28°C
$9,436 交易量
<1%
29°C
$4,298 交易量
<1%
30°C or higher
$3,957 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France forecasts and supporting numerical weather prediction models indicate high pressure over the Paris region on June 14, 2026, with mostly clear skies and light winds favoring a daytime maximum near 25°C. This stable synoptic setup, following earlier variability in model guidance, has driven overwhelming trader consensus toward the 25°C outcome at 99.7% implied probability. Historical June averages around 22–24°C provide context, while the market reflects skin-in-the-game aggregation of forecast uncertainty. A realistic challenge could arise from unexpected model revisions, localized urban heat effects pushing observations to 26°C, or measurement timing at official stations, though current consensus makes such shifts improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$109,450結束日期
2026-06-14市場開放時間
Jun 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France forecasts and supporting numerical weather prediction models indicate high pressure over the Paris region on June 14, 2026, with mostly clear skies and light winds favoring a daytime maximum near 25°C. This stable synoptic setup, following earlier variability in model guidance, has driven overwhelming trader consensus toward the 25°C outcome at 99.7% implied probability. Historical June averages around 22–24°C provide context, while the market reflects skin-in-the-game aggregation of forecast uncertainty. A realistic challenge could arise from unexpected model revisions, localized urban heat effects pushing observations to 26°C, or measurement timing at official stations, though current consensus makes such shifts improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$109,450結束日期
2026-06-14市場開放時間
Jun 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ETRecent Météo-France forecasts and supporting numerical weather prediction models indicate high pressure over the Paris region on June 14, 2026, with mostly clear skies and light winds favoring a daytime maximum near 25°C. This stable synoptic setup, following earlier variability in model guidance, has driven overwhelming trader consensus toward the 25°C outcome at 99.7% implied probability. Historical June averages around 22–24°C provide context, while the market reflects skin-in-the-game aggregation of forecast uncertainty. A realistic challenge could arise from unexpected model revisions, localized urban heat effects pushing observations to 26°C, or measurement timing at official stations, though current consensus makes such shifts improbable before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions