Forecast models for Guangzhou on June 16 indicate a subtropical monsoon pattern with high humidity, widespread cloud cover, and scattered thundershowers that limit solar heating and cap daytime maxima near 29–31 °C. Recent ensemble runs show modest spread because the precise timing and coverage of rainfall—driven by southwesterly flow and a weak frontal boundary—will determine whether peak insolation occurs before or after convective cooling. Historical June climatology places average highs around 31 °C, yet persistent overcast conditions this week have already trimmed observed maxima, supporting the tight market clustering around 29–30 °C. Updated NWP guidance expected within the next 24 hours could shift implied probabilities if rain timing changes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Guangzhou on June 16?
30°C 30%
29°C 26%
31°C 20%
28°C 11%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
6%
28°C
11%
29°C
26%
30°C
30%
31°C
20%
32°C
6%
33°C or higher
2%
30°C 30%
29°C 26%
31°C 20%
28°C 11%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
6%
28°C
11%
29°C
26%
30°C
30%
31°C
20%
32°C
6%
33°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jun 14, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models for Guangzhou on June 16 indicate a subtropical monsoon pattern with high humidity, widespread cloud cover, and scattered thundershowers that limit solar heating and cap daytime maxima near 29–31 °C. Recent ensemble runs show modest spread because the precise timing and coverage of rainfall—driven by southwesterly flow and a weak frontal boundary—will determine whether peak insolation occurs before or after convective cooling. Historical June climatology places average highs around 31 °C, yet persistent overcast conditions this week have already trimmed observed maxima, supporting the tight market clustering around 29–30 °C. Updated NWP guidance expected within the next 24 hours could shift implied probabilities if rain timing changes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions