Recent forecasts from models including those referenced by meteorological agencies point to a June 15 high in Guangzhou near 29–30 °C, driven by typical early-summer monsoon moisture, persistent cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit daytime heating. Regional climatology shows average June maxima of 31 °C, yet current patterns feature elevated humidity and potential convective activity that can suppress peaks by 1–2 °C while also introducing local variability from urban heat effects. Ensemble guidance displays modest spread around these thresholds, with slight differences in timing of any rain or breaks in cloudiness able to shift the daily maximum between 28 °C and 31 °C. Traders weigh these near-term dynamics against historical analogs, where comparable setups have produced outcomes clustered in the upper 20s to low 30s.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Guangzhou on June 15?
29°C 31%
30°C 31%
31°C 15%
28°C 14%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
6%
28°C
14%
29°C
31%
30°C
31%
31°C
15%
32°C or higher
5%
29°C 31%
30°C 31%
31°C 15%
28°C 14%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
6%
28°C
14%
29°C
31%
30°C
31%
31°C
15%
32°C or higher
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jun 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from models including those referenced by meteorological agencies point to a June 15 high in Guangzhou near 29–30 °C, driven by typical early-summer monsoon moisture, persistent cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit daytime heating. Regional climatology shows average June maxima of 31 °C, yet current patterns feature elevated humidity and potential convective activity that can suppress peaks by 1–2 °C while also introducing local variability from urban heat effects. Ensemble guidance displays modest spread around these thresholds, with slight differences in timing of any rain or breaks in cloudiness able to shift the daily maximum between 28 °C and 31 °C. Traders weigh these near-term dynamics against historical analogs, where comparable setups have produced outcomes clustered in the upper 20s to low 30s.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions