Recent Japan Meteorological Agency ensemble forecasts and global models, indicating a modest subtropical ridge over eastern Japan, have anchored trader sentiment around 21–22°C for Tokyo’s June 15 maximum, with implied probabilities of 45.5% and 42.5% respectively. These outcomes reflect expected partly cloudy skies during the early tsuyu period that allow modest daytime heating near the seasonal normal of 26°C while limiting stronger insolation. Differentiation between 21°C and 22°C hinges on small variations in cloud thickness, sea-breeze timing, and urban heat-island intensity, all within typical short-range forecast uncertainty. Higher or lower outcomes remain low-probability given model consensus and the absence of extreme synoptic shifts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月15日東京氣溫最高？
6月15日東京氣溫最高？
21°C 47%
22°C 43%
23°C 10%
24°C 1.4%
最新
$54,219 交易量
最新
$54,219 交易量
2026-06-15
17°C或以下
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
47%
22°C
43%
23°C
10%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C或以上
<1%
21°C 47%
22°C 43%
23°C 10%
24°C 1.4%
最新
$54,219 交易量
最新
$54,219 交易量
2026-06-15
17°C或以下
$3,194 交易量
<1%
18°C
$4,949 交易量
<1%
19°C
$5,761 交易量
<1%
20°C
$18,639 交易量
<1%
21°C
$2,613 交易量
47%
22°C
$2,308 交易量
43%
23°C
$1,930 交易量
10%
24°C
$3,676 交易量
1%
25°C
$3,351 交易量
<1%
26°C
$3,465 交易量
<1%
27°C或以上
$5,402 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency ensemble forecasts and global models, indicating a modest subtropical ridge over eastern Japan, have anchored trader sentiment around 21–22°C for Tokyo’s June 15 maximum, with implied probabilities of 45.5% and 42.5% respectively. These outcomes reflect expected partly cloudy skies during the early tsuyu period that allow modest daytime heating near the seasonal normal of 26°C while limiting stronger insolation. Differentiation between 21°C and 22°C hinges on small variations in cloud thickness, sea-breeze timing, and urban heat-island intensity, all within typical short-range forecast uncertainty. Higher or lower outcomes remain low-probability given model consensus and the absence of extreme synoptic shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
交易量
$54,219結束日期
2026-06-15市場開放時間
Jun 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency ensemble forecasts and global models, indicating a modest subtropical ridge over eastern Japan, have anchored trader sentiment around 21–22°C for Tokyo’s June 15 maximum, with implied probabilities of 45.5% and 42.5% respectively. These outcomes reflect expected partly cloudy skies during the early tsuyu period that allow modest daytime heating near the seasonal normal of 26°C while limiting stronger insolation. Differentiation between 21°C and 22°C hinges on small variations in cloud thickness, sea-breeze timing, and urban heat-island intensity, all within typical short-range forecast uncertainty. Higher or lower outcomes remain low-probability given model consensus and the absence of extreme synoptic shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$54,219結束日期
2026-06-15市場開放時間
Jun 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETRecent Japan Meteorological Agency ensemble forecasts and global models, indicating a modest subtropical ridge over eastern Japan, have anchored trader sentiment around 21–22°C for Tokyo’s June 15 maximum, with implied probabilities of 45.5% and 42.5% respectively. These outcomes reflect expected partly cloudy skies during the early tsuyu period that allow modest daytime heating near the seasonal normal of 26°C while limiting stronger insolation. Differentiation between 21°C and 22°C hinges on small variations in cloud thickness, sea-breeze timing, and urban heat-island intensity, all within typical short-range forecast uncertainty. Higher or lower outcomes remain low-probability given model consensus and the absence of extreme synoptic shifts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions