Recent ensemble forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models indicate a modest subtropical ridge over eastern Japan, supporting daytime highs of 25–27°C in Tokyo on June 16 amid the transition out of the rainy season. Variable cloud cover, potential scattered showers, and moderate humidity levels introduce uncertainty in peak heating, with model runs showing slight differences in timing and intensity of any clearing. Historical June averages near 26°C provide a climatological baseline, but short-term steering patterns and local urban effects can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Traders weigh these variables against the market's tight distribution around 26°C and 27°C, as new model updates and official briefings approach resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Tokyo on June 16?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on June 16?
26°C 36%
27°C 29%
25°C 16%
28°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-06-16
21°C或以下
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
5%
25°C
16%
26°C
36%
27°C
29%
28°C
13%
29°C
3%
30°C
1%
31°C或更高
<1%
26°C 36%
27°C 29%
25°C 16%
28°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-06-16
21°C或以下
$741 交易量
<1%
22°C
$248 交易量
<1%
23°C
$510 交易量
1%
24°C
$119 交易量
5%
25°C
$152 交易量
16%
26°C
$80 交易量
36%
27°C
$43 交易量
29%
28°C
$257 交易量
13%
29°C
$30 交易量
3%
30°C
$45 交易量
1%
31°C或更高
$608 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models indicate a modest subtropical ridge over eastern Japan, supporting daytime highs of 25–27°C in Tokyo on June 16 amid the transition out of the rainy season. Variable cloud cover, potential scattered showers, and moderate humidity levels introduce uncertainty in peak heating, with model runs showing slight differences in timing and intensity of any clearing. Historical June averages near 26°C provide a climatological baseline, but short-term steering patterns and local urban effects can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Traders weigh these variables against the market's tight distribution around 26°C and 27°C, as new model updates and official briefings approach resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$2,789結束日期
2026-06-16市場開放時間
Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models indicate a modest subtropical ridge over eastern Japan, supporting daytime highs of 25–27°C in Tokyo on June 16 amid the transition out of the rainy season. Variable cloud cover, potential scattered showers, and moderate humidity levels introduce uncertainty in peak heating, with model runs showing slight differences in timing and intensity of any clearing. Historical June averages near 26°C provide a climatological baseline, but short-term steering patterns and local urban effects can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Traders weigh these variables against the market's tight distribution around 26°C and 27°C, as new model updates and official briefings approach resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,789結束日期
2026-06-16市場開放時間
Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ETRecent ensemble forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models indicate a modest subtropical ridge over eastern Japan, supporting daytime highs of 25–27°C in Tokyo on June 16 amid the transition out of the rainy season. Variable cloud cover, potential scattered showers, and moderate humidity levels introduce uncertainty in peak heating, with model runs showing slight differences in timing and intensity of any clearing. Historical June averages near 26°C provide a climatological baseline, but short-term steering patterns and local urban effects can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Traders weigh these variables against the market's tight distribution around 26°C and 27°C, as new model updates and official briefings approach resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions