**Short-range numerical weather prediction models from agencies such as MetService and the UK Met Office currently favor a daytime maximum of 12–13 °C for Wellington on 16 June 2026, placing the market’s two leading outcomes in close contention.** June climatology for the region shows average highs near 13 °C, with typical daily maxima ranging 9–16 °C under prevailing westerly or southerly flows. The tight clustering of probabilities (13 °C at 38 %, 12 °C at 35.5 %, 11 °C at 18.5 %) reflects residual spread among ensemble members regarding the timing and strength of any approaching front, cloud cover, and local sea-breeze or orographic effects around Cook Strait. No significant warm or cold anomalies are indicated in the latest guidance, consistent with NIWA’s near-average seasonal outlook for the period. Traders are therefore weighting the most recent model runs and any morning forecast updates that could shift the exact peak by 1 °C, the threshold that separates the top two contracts. Resolution will be determined by official MetService observations for the calendar day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Wellington on June 16?
Highest temperature in Wellington on June 16?
13°C 39%
12°C 36%
11°C 19%
14°C 4.5%
最新
最新
2026-06-16
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
2%
11°C
19%
12°C
36%
13°C
39%
14°C
5%
15°C
1%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
13°C 39%
12°C 36%
11°C 19%
14°C 4.5%
最新
最新
2026-06-16
7°C or below
$126 交易量
<1%
8°C
$72 交易量
<1%
9°C
$59 交易量
1%
10°C
$133 交易量
2%
11°C
$333 交易量
19%
12°C
$419 交易量
36%
13°C
$813 交易量
39%
14°C
$1,624 交易量
5%
15°C
$434 交易量
1%
16°C
$31 交易量
<1%
17°C or higher
$115 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Short-range numerical weather prediction models from agencies such as MetService and the UK Met Office currently favor a daytime maximum of 12–13 °C for Wellington on 16 June 2026, placing the market’s two leading outcomes in close contention.**
June climatology for the region shows average highs near 13 °C, with typical daily maxima ranging 9–16 °C under prevailing westerly or southerly flows. The tight clustering of probabilities (13 °C at 38 %, 12 °C at 35.5 %, 11 °C at 18.5 %) reflects residual spread among ensemble members regarding the timing and strength of any approaching front, cloud cover, and local sea-breeze or orographic effects around Cook Strait.
No significant warm or cold anomalies are indicated in the latest guidance, consistent with NIWA’s near-average seasonal outlook for the period. Traders are therefore weighting the most recent model runs and any morning forecast updates that could shift the exact peak by 1 °C, the threshold that separates the top two contracts. Resolution will be determined by official MetService observations for the calendar day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$3,725結束日期
2026-06-16市場開放時間
Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Short-range numerical weather prediction models from agencies such as MetService and the UK Met Office currently favor a daytime maximum of 12–13 °C for Wellington on 16 June 2026, placing the market’s two leading outcomes in close contention.**
June climatology for the region shows average highs near 13 °C, with typical daily maxima ranging 9–16 °C under prevailing westerly or southerly flows. The tight clustering of probabilities (13 °C at 38 %, 12 °C at 35.5 %, 11 °C at 18.5 %) reflects residual spread among ensemble members regarding the timing and strength of any approaching front, cloud cover, and local sea-breeze or orographic effects around Cook Strait.
No significant warm or cold anomalies are indicated in the latest guidance, consistent with NIWA’s near-average seasonal outlook for the period. Traders are therefore weighting the most recent model runs and any morning forecast updates that could shift the exact peak by 1 °C, the threshold that separates the top two contracts. Resolution will be determined by official MetService observations for the calendar day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,725結束日期
2026-06-16市場開放時間
Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ET**Short-range numerical weather prediction models from agencies such as MetService and the UK Met Office currently favor a daytime maximum of 12–13 °C for Wellington on 16 June 2026, placing the market’s two leading outcomes in close contention.** June climatology for the region shows average highs near 13 °C, with typical daily maxima ranging 9–16 °C under prevailing westerly or southerly flows. The tight clustering of probabilities (13 °C at 38 %, 12 °C at 35.5 %, 11 °C at 18.5 %) reflects residual spread among ensemble members regarding the timing and strength of any approaching front, cloud cover, and local sea-breeze or orographic effects around Cook Strait. No significant warm or cold anomalies are indicated in the latest guidance, consistent with NIWA’s near-average seasonal outlook for the period. Traders are therefore weighting the most recent model runs and any morning forecast updates that could shift the exact peak by 1 °C, the threshold that separates the top two contracts. Resolution will be determined by official MetService observations for the calendar day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions