**Current forecasts for Moscow on June 14, 2026, show a maximum temperature centered on 18–20 °C, consistent with the market’s heavy weighting toward 18 °C (61.8 %) and 19 °C (34.5 %).** Mid-June climatology places average daily highs near 21–22 °C, so today’s cooler profile reflects a specific synoptic pattern: increased cloud cover, passing showers, and a northwesterly flow advecting cooler maritime air from the Baltic region. These conditions limit surface heating and reduce the diurnal temperature range, keeping the peak below seasonal norms. Official guidance from sources such as the Russian Hydrometeorological Center and global models (GFS/ECMWF) consistently indicates an overcast or mostly cloudy day with light precipitation possible through the afternoon. Observed early-morning temperatures near 13–14 °C and forecast afternoon maxima of 19–20 °C align with this setup. Recent model runs have shown only minor adjustments, reinforcing trader confidence in the 18–19 °C band while assigning low probability to outliers above 21 °C or below 17 °C. As the day progresses, updated station readings and any clearing trends could still shift the final maximum, but the present atmospheric regime favors the current market-implied outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Moscow on June 14?
Highest temperature in Moscow on June 14?
18°C 61.8%
19°C 34%
20°C 4.5%
21°C 2.5%
$57,198 交易量
$57,198 交易量
2026-06-14
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
62%
19°C
34%
20°C
4%
21°C
3%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
18°C 61.8%
19°C 34%
20°C 4.5%
21°C 2.5%
$57,198 交易量
$57,198 交易量
2026-06-14
17°C or below
$30,349 交易量
<1%
18°C
$5,870 交易量
62%
19°C
$3,158 交易量
34%
20°C
$4,313 交易量
4%
21°C
$3,599 交易量
3%
22°C
$3,051 交易量
<1%
23°C
$2,929 交易量
<1%
24°C
$2,541 交易量
<1%
25°C
$1,066 交易量
<1%
26°C
$572 交易量
<1%
27°C or higher
$892 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts for Moscow on June 14, 2026, show a maximum temperature centered on 18–20 °C, consistent with the market’s heavy weighting toward 18 °C (61.8 %) and 19 °C (34.5 %).** Mid-June climatology places average daily highs near 21–22 °C, so today’s cooler profile reflects a specific synoptic pattern: increased cloud cover, passing showers, and a northwesterly flow advecting cooler maritime air from the Baltic region. These conditions limit surface heating and reduce the diurnal temperature range, keeping the peak below seasonal norms.
Official guidance from sources such as the Russian Hydrometeorological Center and global models (GFS/ECMWF) consistently indicates an overcast or mostly cloudy day with light precipitation possible through the afternoon. Observed early-morning temperatures near 13–14 °C and forecast afternoon maxima of 19–20 °C align with this setup. Recent model runs have shown only minor adjustments, reinforcing trader confidence in the 18–19 °C band while assigning low probability to outliers above 21 °C or below 17 °C.
As the day progresses, updated station readings and any clearing trends could still shift the final maximum, but the present atmospheric regime favors the current market-implied outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 12, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
交易量
$57,198結束日期
2026-06-14市場開放時間
Jun 12, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts for Moscow on June 14, 2026, show a maximum temperature centered on 18–20 °C, consistent with the market’s heavy weighting toward 18 °C (61.8 %) and 19 °C (34.5 %).** Mid-June climatology places average daily highs near 21–22 °C, so today’s cooler profile reflects a specific synoptic pattern: increased cloud cover, passing showers, and a northwesterly flow advecting cooler maritime air from the Baltic region. These conditions limit surface heating and reduce the diurnal temperature range, keeping the peak below seasonal norms.
Official guidance from sources such as the Russian Hydrometeorological Center and global models (GFS/ECMWF) consistently indicates an overcast or mostly cloudy day with light precipitation possible through the afternoon. Observed early-morning temperatures near 13–14 °C and forecast afternoon maxima of 19–20 °C align with this setup. Recent model runs have shown only minor adjustments, reinforcing trader confidence in the 18–19 °C band while assigning low probability to outliers above 21 °C or below 17 °C.
As the day progresses, updated station readings and any clearing trends could still shift the final maximum, but the present atmospheric regime favors the current market-implied outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$57,198結束日期
2026-06-14市場開放時間
Jun 12, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts for Moscow on June 14, 2026, show a maximum temperature centered on 18–20 °C, consistent with the market’s heavy weighting toward 18 °C (61.8 %) and 19 °C (34.5 %).** Mid-June climatology places average daily highs near 21–22 °C, so today’s cooler profile reflects a specific synoptic pattern: increased cloud cover, passing showers, and a northwesterly flow advecting cooler maritime air from the Baltic region. These conditions limit surface heating and reduce the diurnal temperature range, keeping the peak below seasonal norms. Official guidance from sources such as the Russian Hydrometeorological Center and global models (GFS/ECMWF) consistently indicates an overcast or mostly cloudy day with light precipitation possible through the afternoon. Observed early-morning temperatures near 13–14 °C and forecast afternoon maxima of 19–20 °C align with this setup. Recent model runs have shown only minor adjustments, reinforcing trader confidence in the 18–19 °C band while assigning low probability to outliers above 21 °C or below 17 °C. As the day progresses, updated station readings and any clearing trends could still shift the final maximum, but the present atmospheric regime favors the current market-implied outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions