Recent meteorological forecasts from multiple models indicate Moscow daytime maxima near 19–21°C on June 16, shaped by a cool northerly flow, persistent cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit solar heating and cap afternoon warming. This setup produces the tight clustering of trader probabilities around 17–19°C outcomes, as small shifts in cloud timing or wind speed can easily move the peak by 1–2°C. Official guidance from sources such as timeanddate.com and ensemble runs shows limited upside absent rapid clearing, while historical June variability and measurement at standard stations add further uncertainty near resolution thresholds. Upcoming model updates and satellite observations over the next 48 hours will refine the range.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Moscow on June 16?
18°C 30%
19°C 25%
17°C 21%
20°C 11.9%
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
2%
15°C
3%
16°C
6%
17°C
21%
18°C
32%
19°C
25%
20°C
12%
21°C
4%
22°C or higher
2%
18°C 30%
19°C 25%
17°C 21%
20°C 11.9%
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
2%
15°C
3%
16°C
6%
17°C
21%
18°C
32%
19°C
25%
20°C
12%
21°C
4%
22°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jun 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological forecasts from multiple models indicate Moscow daytime maxima near 19–21°C on June 16, shaped by a cool northerly flow, persistent cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit solar heating and cap afternoon warming. This setup produces the tight clustering of trader probabilities around 17–19°C outcomes, as small shifts in cloud timing or wind speed can easily move the peak by 1–2°C. Official guidance from sources such as timeanddate.com and ensemble runs shows limited upside absent rapid clearing, while historical June variability and measurement at standard stations add further uncertainty near resolution thresholds. Upcoming model updates and satellite observations over the next 48 hours will refine the range.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions