Recent short-range forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory, indicating a maximum of 26–30°C under light rain on June 13, anchor trader expectations around 30°C (35% implied probability) and 31°C. These align with June climatology of 29–32°C daytime highs amid high humidity and frequent showers, while the seasonal outlook for above-normal temperatures through August supports slight upside risk. Model consensus and the absence of strong tropical systems or clear-sky heating in the latest guidance keep probabilities concentrated near the historical mean rather than extremes. Updated official briefings on steering patterns and rainfall timing will likely drive any near-term shifts before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月13日香港最高溫度?
30°C 35%
31°C 22%
29°C 21%
32°C 8.0%
25°C或以下
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
5%
28°C
8%
29°C
21%
30°C
35%
31°C
22%
32°C
9%
33°C
6%
34°C
1%
35°C或以上
<1%
30°C 35%
31°C 22%
29°C 21%
32°C 8.0%
25°C或以下
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
5%
28°C
8%
29°C
21%
30°C
35%
31°C
22%
32°C
9%
33°C
6%
34°C
1%
35°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Jun 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory, indicating a maximum of 26–30°C under light rain on June 13, anchor trader expectations around 30°C (35% implied probability) and 31°C. These align with June climatology of 29–32°C daytime highs amid high humidity and frequent showers, while the seasonal outlook for above-normal temperatures through August supports slight upside risk. Model consensus and the absence of strong tropical systems or clear-sky heating in the latest guidance keep probabilities concentrated near the historical mean rather than extremes. Updated official briefings on steering patterns and rainfall timing will likely drive any near-term shifts before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions