Recent numerical weather prediction runs from major global models show a building high-pressure ridge over the Yellow Sea and Korean Peninsula steering warmer southerly flow toward Qingdao, elevating the June 13 maximum temperature outlook. This synoptic pattern has shifted ensemble guidance upward, aligning with the market's heavy weighting toward 31°C or higher at 74.5% implied probability. Coastal marine influence and typical early-June climatology around 24–27°C normally cap extremes, yet persistent clear skies and reduced onshore winds support the warmer solution. Updated model cycles and official China Meteorological Administration guidance over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could refine or reverse this consensus before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Qingdao on June 13?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on June 13?
31°C or higher 72%
30°C 16%
29°C 4.0%
28°C 3.0%
最新
最新
2026-06-13
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
4%
30°C
16%
31°C or higher
75%
31°C or higher 72%
30°C 16%
29°C 4.0%
28°C 3.0%
最新
最新
2026-06-13
21°C or below
$419 交易量
<1%
22°C
$413 交易量
<1%
23°C
$413 交易量
<1%
24°C
$419 交易量
<1%
25°C
$163 交易量
1%
26°C
$45 交易量
1%
27°C
$63 交易量
1%
28°C
$20 交易量
3%
29°C
$21 交易量
4%
30°C
$9 交易量
16%
31°C or higher
$136 交易量
75%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction runs from major global models show a building high-pressure ridge over the Yellow Sea and Korean Peninsula steering warmer southerly flow toward Qingdao, elevating the June 13 maximum temperature outlook. This synoptic pattern has shifted ensemble guidance upward, aligning with the market's heavy weighting toward 31°C or higher at 74.5% implied probability. Coastal marine influence and typical early-June climatology around 24–27°C normally cap extremes, yet persistent clear skies and reduced onshore winds support the warmer solution. Updated model cycles and official China Meteorological Administration guidance over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could refine or reverse this consensus before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 11, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
交易量
$2,121結束日期
2026-06-13市場開放時間
Jun 11, 2026, 12:11 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction runs from major global models show a building high-pressure ridge over the Yellow Sea and Korean Peninsula steering warmer southerly flow toward Qingdao, elevating the June 13 maximum temperature outlook. This synoptic pattern has shifted ensemble guidance upward, aligning with the market's heavy weighting toward 31°C or higher at 74.5% implied probability. Coastal marine influence and typical early-June climatology around 24–27°C normally cap extremes, yet persistent clear skies and reduced onshore winds support the warmer solution. Updated model cycles and official China Meteorological Administration guidance over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could refine or reverse this consensus before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,121結束日期
2026-06-13市場開放時間
Jun 11, 2026, 12:11 AM ETRecent numerical weather prediction runs from major global models show a building high-pressure ridge over the Yellow Sea and Korean Peninsula steering warmer southerly flow toward Qingdao, elevating the June 13 maximum temperature outlook. This synoptic pattern has shifted ensemble guidance upward, aligning with the market's heavy weighting toward 31°C or higher at 74.5% implied probability. Coastal marine influence and typical early-June climatology around 24–27°C normally cap extremes, yet persistent clear skies and reduced onshore winds support the warmer solution. Updated model cycles and official China Meteorological Administration guidance over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could refine or reverse this consensus before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions