Strong market consensus around a 14°C high for Wellington on June 11 stems from the latest MetService and supporting numerical weather prediction models, which project a maximum temperature of 14°C under stable high-pressure conditions and light southerly winds typical of mid-winter. This aligns closely with climatological averages for June in the region, where daily highs normally range 13–14°C with limited day-to-day variability. Official observational data from Wellington stations will determine final resolution once the 24-hour period closes. A sudden unforecasted cold outbreak or rapid warm advection could still shift the outcome, though current model agreement leaves little room for deviation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Wellington on June 11?
14°C 99.8%
15°C <1%
17°C <1%
8°C或以下 <1%
$58,114 交易量
$58,114 交易量
8°C或以下
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
100%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C或更高
<1%
14°C 99.8%
15°C <1%
17°C <1%
8°C或以下 <1%
$58,114 交易量
$58,114 交易量
8°C或以下
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
100%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jun 9, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Strong market consensus around a 14°C high for Wellington on June 11 stems from the latest MetService and supporting numerical weather prediction models, which project a maximum temperature of 14°C under stable high-pressure conditions and light southerly winds typical of mid-winter. This aligns closely with climatological averages for June in the region, where daily highs normally range 13–14°C with limited day-to-day variability. Official observational data from Wellington stations will determine final resolution once the 24-hour period closes. A sudden unforecasted cold outbreak or rapid warm advection could still shift the outcome, though current model agreement leaves little room for deviation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions