Current numerical weather prediction models from sources like the BBC and regional analyses point to a maximum temperature in Chengdu on June 13 most likely in the 31–33°C range, with close market probabilities reflecting residual uncertainty in short-range forecasts. In the humid subtropical climate of the Sichuan Basin, daytime highs depend on solar insolation under partly cloudy skies, limited by high humidity, potential scattered showers, and orographic effects that moderate heat buildup. Recent model consensus shows stable southwesterly flow without strong subsidence or clear-sky amplification that could push readings to 34°C or above, while typical early-June baselines hover near 30°C. Differentiation between 31°C, 32°C, and 33°C hinges on minor variations in cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, and any late-day convection, which updated runs over the next 48 hours will clarify ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Chengdu on June 13?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on June 13?
32°C 22%
33°C 21%
31°C 20%
30°C or below 17%
最新
最新
2026-06-13
30°C or below
17%
31°C
20%
32°C
22%
33°C
21%
34°C
13%
35°C
8%
36°C
5%
37°C
2%
38°C
1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
32°C 22%
33°C 21%
31°C 20%
30°C or below 17%
最新
最新
2026-06-13
30°C or below
$57 交易量
17%
31°C
$18 交易量
20%
32°C
$26 交易量
22%
33°C
$0 交易量
21%
34°C
$6 交易量
13%
35°C
$0 交易量
8%
36°C
$0 交易量
5%
37°C
$30 交易量
2%
38°C
$0 交易量
1%
39°C
$0 交易量
<1%
40°C or higher
$99 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models from sources like the BBC and regional analyses point to a maximum temperature in Chengdu on June 13 most likely in the 31–33°C range, with close market probabilities reflecting residual uncertainty in short-range forecasts. In the humid subtropical climate of the Sichuan Basin, daytime highs depend on solar insolation under partly cloudy skies, limited by high humidity, potential scattered showers, and orographic effects that moderate heat buildup. Recent model consensus shows stable southwesterly flow without strong subsidence or clear-sky amplification that could push readings to 34°C or above, while typical early-June baselines hover near 30°C. Differentiation between 31°C, 32°C, and 33°C hinges on minor variations in cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, and any late-day convection, which updated runs over the next 48 hours will clarify ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 11, 2026, 12:24 AM ET
交易量
$237結束日期
2026-06-13市場開放時間
Jun 11, 2026, 12:24 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models from sources like the BBC and regional analyses point to a maximum temperature in Chengdu on June 13 most likely in the 31–33°C range, with close market probabilities reflecting residual uncertainty in short-range forecasts. In the humid subtropical climate of the Sichuan Basin, daytime highs depend on solar insolation under partly cloudy skies, limited by high humidity, potential scattered showers, and orographic effects that moderate heat buildup. Recent model consensus shows stable southwesterly flow without strong subsidence or clear-sky amplification that could push readings to 34°C or above, while typical early-June baselines hover near 30°C. Differentiation between 31°C, 32°C, and 33°C hinges on minor variations in cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, and any late-day convection, which updated runs over the next 48 hours will clarify ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$237結束日期
2026-06-13市場開放時間
Jun 11, 2026, 12:24 AM ETCurrent numerical weather prediction models from sources like the BBC and regional analyses point to a maximum temperature in Chengdu on June 13 most likely in the 31–33°C range, with close market probabilities reflecting residual uncertainty in short-range forecasts. In the humid subtropical climate of the Sichuan Basin, daytime highs depend on solar insolation under partly cloudy skies, limited by high humidity, potential scattered showers, and orographic effects that moderate heat buildup. Recent model consensus shows stable southwesterly flow without strong subsidence or clear-sky amplification that could push readings to 34°C or above, while typical early-June baselines hover near 30°C. Differentiation between 31°C, 32°C, and 33°C hinges on minor variations in cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, and any late-day convection, which updated runs over the next 48 hours will clarify ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions