Trader consensus around a 29°C high for Busan on June 11 reflects current observational data and short-range model guidance showing sunny conditions with daytime maxima near that threshold amid typical early-summer warming. Korea Meteorological Administration reports and station readings indicate temperatures climbing steadily into the upper 20s under light winds and moderate humidity, consistent with climatological averages for mid-June coastal South Korea where ocean moderation prevents rapid spikes. The 99.7% implied probability aligns with limited model spread and absence of significant cooling factors such as frontal passages or heavy cloud cover. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted marine layer or localized precipitation arriving before peak heating, though official updates through the afternoon offer little indication of such shifts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Busan on June 11?
29°C 99.7%
32°C <1%
33°C or higher <1%
30°C <1%
$50,613 交易量
$50,613 交易量
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
100%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
29°C 99.7%
32°C <1%
33°C or higher <1%
30°C <1%
$50,613 交易量
$50,613 交易量
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
100%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jun 9, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Trader consensus around a 29°C high for Busan on June 11 reflects current observational data and short-range model guidance showing sunny conditions with daytime maxima near that threshold amid typical early-summer warming. Korea Meteorological Administration reports and station readings indicate temperatures climbing steadily into the upper 20s under light winds and moderate humidity, consistent with climatological averages for mid-June coastal South Korea where ocean moderation prevents rapid spikes. The 99.7% implied probability aligns with limited model spread and absence of significant cooling factors such as frontal passages or heavy cloud cover. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted marine layer or localized precipitation arriving before peak heating, though official updates through the afternoon offer little indication of such shifts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions