Current meteorological forecasts for Chengdu point to a June 11 high near 29°C, driven by typical early-summer subtropical conditions in the Sichuan basin, including moderate southerly flow, increasing humidity, and limited daytime heating under partly cloudy skies. Model consensus from sources such as the China Meteorological Administration shows weak pressure gradients and potential afternoon convection that caps maximum temperatures, consistent with climatological averages of 28–30°C for the date. Slight variations in cloud cover, wind, or localized precipitation could shift the peak by 1–2°C, explaining the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 28–31°C and the rapid sensitivity to any updated model runs or observational data.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Chengdu on June 11?
30°C 29%
29°C 26%
28°C 16%
31°C 14%
$17,814 交易量
$17,814 交易量
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
8%
28°C
16%
29°C
26%
30°C
29%
31°C
14%
32°C
6%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
30°C 29%
29°C 26%
28°C 16%
31°C 14%
$17,814 交易量
$17,814 交易量
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
8%
28°C
16%
29°C
26%
30°C
29%
31°C
14%
32°C
6%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jun 9, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current meteorological forecasts for Chengdu point to a June 11 high near 29°C, driven by typical early-summer subtropical conditions in the Sichuan basin, including moderate southerly flow, increasing humidity, and limited daytime heating under partly cloudy skies. Model consensus from sources such as the China Meteorological Administration shows weak pressure gradients and potential afternoon convection that caps maximum temperatures, consistent with climatological averages of 28–30°C for the date. Slight variations in cloud cover, wind, or localized precipitation could shift the peak by 1–2°C, explaining the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 28–31°C and the rapid sensitivity to any updated model runs or observational data.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions