Hong Kong's official climatology and seasonal forecast from the Hong Kong Observatory establish typical June overnight lows near 26–27°C under subtropical high-pressure dominance and moderate humidity, with above-normal temperatures projected for June–August 2026. No cold-air intrusions, typhoon influences, or anomalous marine layers materialized around June 12, allowing model guidance and historical baselines to converge on a minimum of 26°C. Traders have anchored at this outcome with near-certain implied probability because real-time observations aligned with expectations, though a late localized rain-cooled pocket or revised official verification could still shift resolution in rare edge cases.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月12日香港最低溫度?
26°C 100.0%
21°C或以下 <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$43,007 交易量
$43,007 交易量
21°C或以下
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
100%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C或以上
<1%
26°C 100.0%
21°C或以下 <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$43,007 交易量
$43,007 交易量
21°C或以下
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
100%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Jun 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong's official climatology and seasonal forecast from the Hong Kong Observatory establish typical June overnight lows near 26–27°C under subtropical high-pressure dominance and moderate humidity, with above-normal temperatures projected for June–August 2026. No cold-air intrusions, typhoon influences, or anomalous marine layers materialized around June 12, allowing model guidance and historical baselines to converge on a minimum of 26°C. Traders have anchored at this outcome with near-certain implied probability because real-time observations aligned with expectations, though a late localized rain-cooled pocket or revised official verification could still shift resolution in rare edge cases.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions