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icon for 6月15日香港最低溫度？

6月15日香港最低溫度？

icon for 6月15日香港最低溫度？

6月15日香港最低溫度？

6月 12

6月 13

6月 14

6月 15

6月 12

6月 13

6月 14

6月 15

26°C 48%

25°C 27%

27°C 24%

24°C 4.7%

Polymarket
最新

26°C 48%

25°C 27%

27°C 24%

24°C 4.7%

Polymarket
最新

22°C或以下

$5 交易量

1%

23°C

$120 交易量

1%

24°C

$85 交易量

5%

25°C

$93 交易量

27%

26°C

$62 交易量

48%

27°C

$47 交易量

24%

28°C

$8 交易量

3%

29°C

$92 交易量

1%

30°C

$407 交易量

<1%

31°C

$150 交易量

<1%

32°C或以上

$405 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecast models from sources including the Hong Kong Observatory and international providers indicate minimum temperatures of 25–27°C on June 15, driven by typical early-summer subtropical conditions with high humidity, cloud cover, and limited overnight radiative cooling. Seasonal guidance issued May 29 projects above-normal temperatures for June–August 2026, consistent with recent observations showing overnight lows near 25–26°C. Thunderstorms or showers noted in short-range outlooks could slightly suppress daytime highs but are unlikely to alter minimums substantially. Trader sentiment, reflected in the 48% implied probability for 26°C and combined 70%+ weighting on 25–27°C outcomes, aligns closely with this model consensus and historical June climatology of average lows around 27°C. Updated numerical weather prediction runs ahead of resolution will provide the next key data points.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$1,473
結束日期
2026-06-15
市場開放時間
Jun 13, 2026, 12:33 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecast models from sources including the Hong Kong Observatory and international providers indicate minimum temperatures of 25–27°C on June 15, driven by typical early-summer subtropical conditions with high humidity, cloud cover, and limited overnight radiative cooling. Seasonal guidance issued May 29 projects above-normal temperatures for June–August 2026, consistent with recent observations showing overnight lows near 25–26°C. Thunderstorms or showers noted in short-range outlooks could slightly suppress daytime highs but are unlikely to alter minimums substantially. Trader sentiment, reflected in the 48% implied probability for 26°C and combined 70%+ weighting on 25–27°C outcomes, aligns closely with this model consensus and historical June climatology of average lows around 27°C. Updated numerical weather prediction runs ahead of resolution will provide the next key data points.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$1,473
結束日期
2026-06-15
市場開放時間
Jun 13, 2026, 12:33 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"6月15日香港最低溫度？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "26°C" at 48%, followed by "25°C" at 27%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 48¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 48% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"6月15日香港最低溫度？" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jun 13, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "6月15日香港最低溫度？," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "6月15日香港最低溫度？" is "26°C" at 48%, meaning the market assigns a 48% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "25°C" at 27%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "6月15日香港最低溫度？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.