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icon for 6月14日香港最低溫度?

6月14日香港最低溫度?

icon for 6月14日香港最低溫度?

6月14日香港最低溫度?

28°C 76.9%

27°C 41%

26°C 7.8%

25°C 2.7%

Polymarket

$28,539 交易量

28°C 76.9%

27°C 41%

26°C 7.8%

25°C 2.7%

Polymarket

$28,539 交易量

22°C或以下

$1,291 交易量

<1%

23°C

$1,751 交易量

<1%

24°C

$2,799 交易量

<1%

25°C

$2,610 交易量

3%

26°C

$3,420 交易量

12%

27°C

$1,476 交易量

32%

28°C

$5,933 交易量

57%

29°C

$6,708 交易量

<1%

30°C

$505 交易量

<1%

31°C

$462 交易量

<1%

32°C或以上

$1,755 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader sentiment for Hong Kong’s June 14 minimum temperature centers on persistent southwest monsoon flow and an active low-pressure trough, which are sustaining cloudy skies, high humidity (80–95%), and scattered heavy showers across the territory.** These conditions suppress radiative cooling overnight, elevating the minimum above typical early-June baselines near 26°C. Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance lists a 26–30°C range for the day, while model consensus and climatology place the overnight low most likely at 27–28°C under moderate southwesterly winds and extensive cloud cover. The near-even split between the 28°C (42.3%) and 27°C (41.0%) outcomes reflects residual uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and localized cooling pockets, with only low probability assigned to cooler readings that would require clearer skies or a marine-layer surge. Updated HKO bulletins and real-time observations through the evening will be the key near-term drivers for any final shift in market-implied odds.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$28,539
結束日期
2026-06-14
市場開放時間
Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader sentiment for Hong Kong’s June 14 minimum temperature centers on persistent southwest monsoon flow and an active low-pressure trough, which are sustaining cloudy skies, high humidity (80–95%), and scattered heavy showers across the territory.** These conditions suppress radiative cooling overnight, elevating the minimum above typical early-June baselines near 26°C. Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance lists a 26–30°C range for the day, while model consensus and climatology place the overnight low most likely at 27–28°C under moderate southwesterly winds and extensive cloud cover. The near-even split between the 28°C (42.3%) and 27°C (41.0%) outcomes reflects residual uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and localized cooling pockets, with only low probability assigned to cooler readings that would require clearer skies or a marine-layer surge. Updated HKO bulletins and real-time observations through the evening will be the key near-term drivers for any final shift in market-implied odds.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$28,539
結束日期
2026-06-14
市場開放時間
Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"6月14日香港最低溫度?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "28°C" at 57%, followed by "27°C" at 32%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 57¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 57% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "6月14日香港最低溫度?" has generated $28.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 12, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "6月14日香港最低溫度?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "6月14日香港最低溫度?" is "28°C" at 57%, meaning the market assigns a 57% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "27°C" at 32%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "6月14日香港最低溫度?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.