Recent meteorological observations and ensemble forecast guidance from agencies including the German Weather Service indicate a daily maximum temperature of 17°C in Munich on June 12, driven by persistent cloud cover, light precipitation, and limited insolation under a stable northwesterly flow. This setup has kept surface temperatures from rising further despite seasonal solar angles, aligning closely with model consensus that narrows peak readings to 16–17°C. Trader positioning at 99.9% implied probability for 17°C reflects this strong agreement and the late timing relative to resolution criteria. Unseasonal clearing or a sharper wind shift could allow brief warming toward 18°C, though such deviations remain low-probability given current stability indices and observational trends.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月12日慕尼黑最高溫度?
17°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$140,926 交易量
$140,926 交易量
8°C or below
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
Yes
18°C or higher
No
17°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$140,926 交易量
$140,926 交易量
8°C or below
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
Yes
18°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jun 10, 2026, 1:07 AM ET
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Recent meteorological observations and ensemble forecast guidance from agencies including the German Weather Service indicate a daily maximum temperature of 17°C in Munich on June 12, driven by persistent cloud cover, light precipitation, and limited insolation under a stable northwesterly flow. This setup has kept surface temperatures from rising further despite seasonal solar angles, aligning closely with model consensus that narrows peak readings to 16–17°C. Trader positioning at 99.9% implied probability for 17°C reflects this strong agreement and the late timing relative to resolution criteria. Unseasonal clearing or a sharper wind shift could allow brief warming toward 18°C, though such deviations remain low-probability given current stability indices and observational trends.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions