Forecast models from agencies like the German Weather Service and ECMWF indicate a stable high-pressure influence over southern Germany on June 15, 2026, supporting maximum temperatures near the seasonal average of 20–22°C in Munich. Light westerly winds, limited cloud cover, and no approaching frontal systems or significant advection of warmer or cooler air masses underpin trader consensus around 21–22°C outcomes. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering with low spread, reflecting modest uncertainty from minor variations in daytime heating and urban effects, while probabilities for 23°C or higher remain subdued absent any heat advection signals in recent runs. Updated model outputs through early June 14 continue to anchor these near-term odds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Munich on June 15?
22°C 46%
21°C 29%
23°C 18%
20°C 6%
$15,801 交易量
$15,801 交易量
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
2%
20°C
6%
21°C
29%
22°C
46%
23°C
18%
24°C
3%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
<1%
22°C 46%
21°C 29%
23°C 18%
20°C 6%
$15,801 交易量
$15,801 交易量
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
2%
20°C
6%
21°C
29%
22°C
46%
23°C
18%
24°C
3%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jun 13, 2026, 12:34 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from agencies like the German Weather Service and ECMWF indicate a stable high-pressure influence over southern Germany on June 15, 2026, supporting maximum temperatures near the seasonal average of 20–22°C in Munich. Light westerly winds, limited cloud cover, and no approaching frontal systems or significant advection of warmer or cooler air masses underpin trader consensus around 21–22°C outcomes. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering with low spread, reflecting modest uncertainty from minor variations in daytime heating and urban effects, while probabilities for 23°C or higher remain subdued absent any heat advection signals in recent runs. Updated model outputs through early June 14 continue to anchor these near-term odds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions