The market's near-certain 23°C outcome reflects the latest UK Met Office short-range guidance, which shows London reaching a daytime maximum of 23°C under building high pressure, sunny intervals, and lighter winds following May's record heatwave. Official observations at stations such as Heathrow and Kew Gardens, combined with model consensus on peak insolation and boundary-layer conditions, have converged on this value, well above the June climatological average of 19–20°C. Brief showers or greater cloud cover could still trim the high by 1–2°C, while any delay in clearing skies might push it slightly higher, though current data make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月12日倫敦的最高溫度?
23°C 100.0%
15°C或以下 <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$182,846 交易量
$182,846 交易量
15°C或以下
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
是
24°C
否
25°C或以上
否
23°C 100.0%
15°C或以下 <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$182,846 交易量
$182,846 交易量
15°C或以下
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
是
24°C
否
25°C或以上
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jun 10, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The market's near-certain 23°C outcome reflects the latest UK Met Office short-range guidance, which shows London reaching a daytime maximum of 23°C under building high pressure, sunny intervals, and lighter winds following May's record heatwave. Official observations at stations such as Heathrow and Kew Gardens, combined with model consensus on peak insolation and boundary-layer conditions, have converged on this value, well above the June climatological average of 19–20°C. Brief showers or greater cloud cover could still trim the high by 1–2°C, while any delay in clearing skies might push it slightly higher, though current data make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions