Recent short-range forecasts from the Met Office and ensemble models place London's June 15 maximum near 22–24°C, driven by light winds, variable high cloud, and a mild southerly flow under building high pressure across southern England. This setup limits strong daytime heating while suppressing widespread rain, keeping values close to seasonal norms rather than triggering a sharper warm spell. Trader consensus around 22–23°C reflects tight model agreement on these conditions, with lower probabilities assigned to 24°C-plus outcomes given modest uncertainty in exact cloud timing and urban heat-island effects at official stations. New model runs and observational updates overnight will likely refine the range ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in London on June 15?
Highest temperature in London on June 15?
22°C 40%
23°C 33%
21°C 17%
24°C or higher 7.4%
最新
$19,523 交易量
最新
$19,523 交易量
2026-06-15
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
3%
21°C
17%
22°C
40%
23°C
33%
24°C or higher
7%
22°C 40%
23°C 33%
21°C 17%
24°C or higher 7.4%
最新
$19,523 交易量
最新
$19,523 交易量
2026-06-15
14°C or below
$473 交易量
<1%
15°C
$468 交易量
<1%
16°C
$499 交易量
<1%
17°C
$632 交易量
<1%
18°C
$1,212 交易量
<1%
19°C
$2,384 交易量
1%
20°C
$2,963 交易量
3%
21°C
$2,538 交易量
17%
22°C
$2,457 交易量
40%
23°C
$2,363 交易量
33%
24°C or higher
$3,910 交易量
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from the Met Office and ensemble models place London's June 15 maximum near 22–24°C, driven by light winds, variable high cloud, and a mild southerly flow under building high pressure across southern England. This setup limits strong daytime heating while suppressing widespread rain, keeping values close to seasonal norms rather than triggering a sharper warm spell. Trader consensus around 22–23°C reflects tight model agreement on these conditions, with lower probabilities assigned to 24°C-plus outcomes given modest uncertainty in exact cloud timing and urban heat-island effects at official stations. New model runs and observational updates overnight will likely refine the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 13, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
交易量
$19,523結束日期
2026-06-15市場開放時間
Jun 13, 2026, 12:12 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from the Met Office and ensemble models place London's June 15 maximum near 22–24°C, driven by light winds, variable high cloud, and a mild southerly flow under building high pressure across southern England. This setup limits strong daytime heating while suppressing widespread rain, keeping values close to seasonal norms rather than triggering a sharper warm spell. Trader consensus around 22–23°C reflects tight model agreement on these conditions, with lower probabilities assigned to 24°C-plus outcomes given modest uncertainty in exact cloud timing and urban heat-island effects at official stations. New model runs and observational updates overnight will likely refine the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$19,523結束日期
2026-06-15市場開放時間
Jun 13, 2026, 12:12 AM ETRecent short-range forecasts from the Met Office and ensemble models place London's June 15 maximum near 22–24°C, driven by light winds, variable high cloud, and a mild southerly flow under building high pressure across southern England. This setup limits strong daytime heating while suppressing widespread rain, keeping values close to seasonal norms rather than triggering a sharper warm spell. Trader consensus around 22–23°C reflects tight model agreement on these conditions, with lower probabilities assigned to 24°C-plus outcomes given modest uncertainty in exact cloud timing and urban heat-island effects at official stations. New model runs and observational updates overnight will likely refine the range ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions