Current forecasts from Météo-France and European models indicate Paris will reach a daytime maximum of 25–27°C on June 12 under building high pressure, clear skies, and light winds that favor strong solar heating. This aligns with mid-June climatology, where average highs near 23°C can exceed 26°C during settled anticyclonic conditions, consistent with recent observational trends of above-normal temperatures across northern France. The market’s near-certain 26°C+ outcome reflects this model consensus and real-time surface observations showing rapid morning warming. A late-day marine intrusion or unexpected cloud build-up could cap the peak just below threshold, though such shifts appear unlikely given the stable pattern.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月12日巴黎最高溫度？
6月12日巴黎最高溫度？
26°C或以上 100.0%
16°C或以下 <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$98,699 交易量
$98,699 交易量
2026-06-12
16°C或以下
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C或以上
是
26°C或以上 100.0%
16°C或以下 <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$98,699 交易量
$98,699 交易量
2026-06-12
16°C或以下
$511 交易量
否
17°C
$521 交易量
否
18°C
$2,569 交易量
否
19°C
$5,611 交易量
否
20°C
$4,706 交易量
否
21°C
$7,524 交易量
否
22°C
$12,922 交易量
否
23°C
$15,284 交易量
否
24°C
$12,276 交易量
否
25°C
$15,686 交易量
否
26°C或以上
$21,090 交易量
是
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from Météo-France and European models indicate Paris will reach a daytime maximum of 25–27°C on June 12 under building high pressure, clear skies, and light winds that favor strong solar heating. This aligns with mid-June climatology, where average highs near 23°C can exceed 26°C during settled anticyclonic conditions, consistent with recent observational trends of above-normal temperatures across northern France. The market’s near-certain 26°C+ outcome reflects this model consensus and real-time surface observations showing rapid morning warming. A late-day marine intrusion or unexpected cloud build-up could cap the peak just below threshold, though such shifts appear unlikely given the stable pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 10, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
交易量
$98,699結束日期
2026-06-12市場開放時間
Jun 10, 2026, 1:03 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from Météo-France and European models indicate Paris will reach a daytime maximum of 25–27°C on June 12 under building high pressure, clear skies, and light winds that favor strong solar heating. This aligns with mid-June climatology, where average highs near 23°C can exceed 26°C during settled anticyclonic conditions, consistent with recent observational trends of above-normal temperatures across northern France. The market’s near-certain 26°C+ outcome reflects this model consensus and real-time surface observations showing rapid morning warming. A late-day marine intrusion or unexpected cloud build-up could cap the peak just below threshold, though such shifts appear unlikely given the stable pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$98,699結束日期
2026-06-12市場開放時間
Jun 10, 2026, 1:03 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Current forecasts from Météo-France and European models indicate Paris will reach a daytime maximum of 25–27°C on June 12 under building high pressure, clear skies, and light winds that favor strong solar heating. This aligns with mid-June climatology, where average highs near 23°C can exceed 26°C during settled anticyclonic conditions, consistent with recent observational trends of above-normal temperatures across northern France. The market’s near-certain 26°C+ outcome reflects this model consensus and real-time surface observations showing rapid morning warming. A late-day marine intrusion or unexpected cloud build-up could cap the peak just below threshold, though such shifts appear unlikely given the stable pattern.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions