Latest ensemble guidance from Météo-France and ECMWF converges on a Paris maximum of 27–29°C for June 15 under a strengthening anticyclone that has already delivered 30–31°C on June 14. Model plumes show limited spread around this range, with only modest cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing expected to prevent further warming while steering patterns keep Atlantic cooling at bay. Historical June climatology places such values slightly above average, supporting the market’s clustering at 28°C (43.5%) and 29°C (30.0%) as the consensus outcome ahead of the final model runs and official observations used for resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Paris on June 15?
28°C 44%
29°C 30%
27°C 17%
30°C 6.2%
$19,250 交易量
$19,250 交易量
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
6%
27°C
17%
28°C
44%
29°C
30%
30°C
6%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
28°C 44%
29°C 30%
27°C 17%
30°C 6.2%
$19,250 交易量
$19,250 交易量
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
6%
27°C
17%
28°C
44%
29°C
30%
30°C
6%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jun 13, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Latest ensemble guidance from Météo-France and ECMWF converges on a Paris maximum of 27–29°C for June 15 under a strengthening anticyclone that has already delivered 30–31°C on June 14. Model plumes show limited spread around this range, with only modest cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing expected to prevent further warming while steering patterns keep Atlantic cooling at bay. Historical June climatology places such values slightly above average, supporting the market’s clustering at 28°C (43.5%) and 29°C (30.0%) as the consensus outcome ahead of the final model runs and official observations used for resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions