Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a daytime high near 29–30°C in Shenzhen on June 10, driven by typical early-summer subtropical conditions with thundershowers, persistent cloud cover, and elevated humidity that limit radiative heating. These factors align with seasonal baselines around 31°C while introducing variability from localized precipitation and southerly flow, positioning 29°C as the modal outcome in trader consensus. Updated model runs through the past 48 hours have shown minimal shifts, sustaining the market's emphasis on this narrow range over higher thresholds that would require clearer skies or stronger advection.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Shenzhen on June 10?
29°C 52%
30°C 29%
31°C 16%
32°C 11.3%
$51,491 交易量
$51,491 交易量
24°C或以下
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
57%
30°C
29%
31°C
19%
32°C
12%
33°C
4%
34°C or higher
<1%
29°C 52%
30°C 29%
31°C 16%
32°C 11.3%
$51,491 交易量
$51,491 交易量
24°C或以下
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
57%
30°C
29%
31°C
19%
32°C
12%
33°C
4%
34°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jun 8, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a daytime high near 29–30°C in Shenzhen on June 10, driven by typical early-summer subtropical conditions with thundershowers, persistent cloud cover, and elevated humidity that limit radiative heating. These factors align with seasonal baselines around 31°C while introducing variability from localized precipitation and southerly flow, positioning 29°C as the modal outcome in trader consensus. Updated model runs through the past 48 hours have shown minimal shifts, sustaining the market's emphasis on this narrow range over higher thresholds that would require clearer skies or stronger advection.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions