The overwhelming market consensus at 20°C stems from official meteorological observations confirming that exact daily maximum in Mexico City on June 9, aligning with real-time station readings from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional. Early June climatology typically features highs near 24°C, yet localized atmospheric conditions including increased cloud cover and moisture limited peak warming to this threshold, consistent with model outputs and verified measurements. This outcome carries near-certainty given the post-event data closure, though minor revisions in official reporting protocols or station-specific calibrations represent the only realistic pathways to adjustment.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Mexico City on June 9?
20°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$58,502 交易量
$58,502 交易量
19°C or below
No
20°C
Yes
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
20°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$58,502 交易量
$58,502 交易量
19°C or below
No
20°C
Yes
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jun 7, 2026, 9:06 PM ET
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
The overwhelming market consensus at 20°C stems from official meteorological observations confirming that exact daily maximum in Mexico City on June 9, aligning with real-time station readings from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional. Early June climatology typically features highs near 24°C, yet localized atmospheric conditions including increased cloud cover and moisture limited peak warming to this threshold, consistent with model outputs and verified measurements. This outcome carries near-certainty given the post-event data closure, though minor revisions in official reporting protocols or station-specific calibrations represent the only realistic pathways to adjustment.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions