Recent forecasts from major models and observational trends indicate Mexico City highs will likely peak near 24–26°C on June 14, driven by the city's 2,240-meter elevation, which moderates extremes, combined with increasing moisture from the early North American monsoon. Afternoon cloud build-up and scattered showers are limiting full solar heating, while urban heat effects and variable thunderstorm timing create the narrow spread between leading outcomes. Historical June averages hover around 24–25°C with high day-to-day variability from convective activity; traders appear to weigh the latest model runs showing modest warming potential against the risk of earlier or heavier rain suppressing the peak. Updated National Meteorological Service guidance and real-time station data will refine resolution as the day progresses.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於墨西哥城6月14日的最高溫度?
25°C 40%
26°C 38%
24°C 12%
27°C 11.2%
$9,540 交易量
$9,540 交易量
19°C或以下
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
12%
25°C
40%
26°C
38%
27°C
11%
28°C
1%
29°C或更高
<1%
25°C 40%
26°C 38%
24°C 12%
27°C 11.2%
$9,540 交易量
$9,540 交易量
19°C或以下
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
12%
25°C
40%
26°C
38%
27°C
11%
28°C
1%
29°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jun 12, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from major models and observational trends indicate Mexico City highs will likely peak near 24–26°C on June 14, driven by the city's 2,240-meter elevation, which moderates extremes, combined with increasing moisture from the early North American monsoon. Afternoon cloud build-up and scattered showers are limiting full solar heating, while urban heat effects and variable thunderstorm timing create the narrow spread between leading outcomes. Historical June averages hover around 24–25°C with high day-to-day variability from convective activity; traders appear to weigh the latest model runs showing modest warming potential against the risk of earlier or heavier rain suppressing the peak. Updated National Meteorological Service guidance and real-time station data will refine resolution as the day progresses.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions