Mexico City's high-elevation valley location around 2,240 meters typically moderates daytime highs, with June marking the onset of the rainy season and frequent afternoon convection that often caps peak temperatures through increased cloud cover and precipitation. Current forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and Weather25 indicate June 15 highs near 24–26°C, with 20–50 mm of rain expected that could suppress the maximum depending on timing and intensity of storms. Trader consensus clustering on 25–26°C reflects model variability in boundary-layer moisture and steering patterns, alongside historical June averages of roughly 25°C; slight shifts in observational data or updated runs from regional models could readily tip resolution between these adjacent outcomes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於墨西哥城6月15日的最高溫度?
26°C 36%
25°C 33%
24°C 15%
27°C 14%
20°C或以下
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
2%
23°C
7%
24°C
15%
25°C
33%
26°C
36%
27°C
14%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C或以上
<1%
26°C 36%
25°C 33%
24°C 15%
27°C 14%
20°C或以下
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
2%
23°C
7%
24°C
15%
25°C
33%
26°C
36%
27°C
14%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jun 13, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mexico City's high-elevation valley location around 2,240 meters typically moderates daytime highs, with June marking the onset of the rainy season and frequent afternoon convection that often caps peak temperatures through increased cloud cover and precipitation. Current forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and Weather25 indicate June 15 highs near 24–26°C, with 20–50 mm of rain expected that could suppress the maximum depending on timing and intensity of storms. Trader consensus clustering on 25–26°C reflects model variability in boundary-layer moisture and steering patterns, alongside historical June averages of roughly 25°C; slight shifts in observational data or updated runs from regional models could readily tip resolution between these adjacent outcomes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions