Official forecasts from Spain’s AEMET peg Madrid’s June 14 maximum near 34°C under mostly sunny skies with a chance of afternoon convective showers, anchoring the market’s near-even split between 34°C and 35°C outcomes. Multiple models show modest daytime heating driven by strong June solar insolation at Madrid’s latitude and urban heat-island effects that can add 1–2°C locally, while earlier storm development or increased cloud cover could cap readings at 34°C. Historical June averages hover around 28–29°C, yet the current warm baseline supports the tight clustering around these two values. Real-time observations and updated model runs through the afternoon will refine the official maximum used for resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Madrid on June 14?
Highest temperature in Madrid on June 14?
34°C 65%
35°C 36%
36°C 3.7%
37°C <1%
$61,854 交易量
$61,854 交易量
2026-06-14
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
65%
35°C
47%
36°C
4%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
34°C 65%
35°C 36%
36°C 3.7%
37°C <1%
$61,854 交易量
$61,854 交易量
2026-06-14
31°C or below
$3,971 交易量
<1%
32°C
$7,697 交易量
<1%
33°C
$10,510 交易量
<1%
34°C
$9,045 交易量
65%
35°C
$11,342 交易量
47%
36°C
$11,153 交易量
4%
37°C
$5,749 交易量
1%
38°C
$1,840 交易量
<1%
39°C
$574 交易量
<1%
40°C
$432 交易量
<1%
41°C or higher
$427 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Spain’s AEMET peg Madrid’s June 14 maximum near 34°C under mostly sunny skies with a chance of afternoon convective showers, anchoring the market’s near-even split between 34°C and 35°C outcomes. Multiple models show modest daytime heating driven by strong June solar insolation at Madrid’s latitude and urban heat-island effects that can add 1–2°C locally, while earlier storm development or increased cloud cover could cap readings at 34°C. Historical June averages hover around 28–29°C, yet the current warm baseline supports the tight clustering around these two values. Real-time observations and updated model runs through the afternoon will refine the official maximum used for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
交易量
$61,854結束日期
2026-06-14市場開放時間
Jun 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Spain’s AEMET peg Madrid’s June 14 maximum near 34°C under mostly sunny skies with a chance of afternoon convective showers, anchoring the market’s near-even split between 34°C and 35°C outcomes. Multiple models show modest daytime heating driven by strong June solar insolation at Madrid’s latitude and urban heat-island effects that can add 1–2°C locally, while earlier storm development or increased cloud cover could cap readings at 34°C. Historical June averages hover around 28–29°C, yet the current warm baseline supports the tight clustering around these two values. Real-time observations and updated model runs through the afternoon will refine the official maximum used for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$61,854結束日期
2026-06-14市場開放時間
Jun 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ETOfficial forecasts from Spain’s AEMET peg Madrid’s June 14 maximum near 34°C under mostly sunny skies with a chance of afternoon convective showers, anchoring the market’s near-even split between 34°C and 35°C outcomes. Multiple models show modest daytime heating driven by strong June solar insolation at Madrid’s latitude and urban heat-island effects that can add 1–2°C locally, while earlier storm development or increased cloud cover could cap readings at 34°C. Historical June averages hover around 28–29°C, yet the current warm baseline supports the tight clustering around these two values. Real-time observations and updated model runs through the afternoon will refine the official maximum used for resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions