Recent numerical weather prediction models from agencies including the UK Met Office indicate a maximum temperature in Madrid of 31–32 °C on June 15, driven by persistent high-pressure ridging, clear skies, and strong June solar insolation over the Iberian Plateau. Ensemble guidance clusters tightly around these values, with minor spread arising from subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing, afternoon wind speeds, and the chance of isolated convective clouds that could limit peak heating by 1 °C. The market’s near-even split between 31 °C and 32 °C reflects this narrow uncertainty range and the influence of urban heat-island effects at official observing sites. Updated model runs and AEMET guidance tonight will likely refine the exact maximum before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Madrid on June 15?
Highest temperature in Madrid on June 15?
32°C 38%
31°C 34%
33°C 11.3%
30°C 9%
最新
$16,211 交易量
最新
$16,211 交易量
2026-06-15
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
9%
31°C
34%
32°C
38%
33°C
11%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 38%
31°C 34%
33°C 11.3%
30°C 9%
最新
$16,211 交易量
最新
$16,211 交易量
2026-06-15
27°C or below
$404 交易量
<1%
28°C
$1,627 交易量
<1%
29°C
$1,877 交易量
1%
30°C
$1,975 交易量
9%
31°C
$1,441 交易量
34%
32°C
$1,793 交易量
38%
33°C
$2,197 交易量
11%
34°C
$2,914 交易量
2%
35°C
$1,091 交易量
<1%
36°C
$333 交易量
<1%
37°C or higher
$706 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from agencies including the UK Met Office indicate a maximum temperature in Madrid of 31–32 °C on June 15, driven by persistent high-pressure ridging, clear skies, and strong June solar insolation over the Iberian Plateau. Ensemble guidance clusters tightly around these values, with minor spread arising from subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing, afternoon wind speeds, and the chance of isolated convective clouds that could limit peak heating by 1 °C. The market’s near-even split between 31 °C and 32 °C reflects this narrow uncertainty range and the influence of urban heat-island effects at official observing sites. Updated model runs and AEMET guidance tonight will likely refine the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 13, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
交易量
$16,211結束日期
2026-06-15市場開放時間
Jun 13, 2026, 12:10 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from agencies including the UK Met Office indicate a maximum temperature in Madrid of 31–32 °C on June 15, driven by persistent high-pressure ridging, clear skies, and strong June solar insolation over the Iberian Plateau. Ensemble guidance clusters tightly around these values, with minor spread arising from subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing, afternoon wind speeds, and the chance of isolated convective clouds that could limit peak heating by 1 °C. The market’s near-even split between 31 °C and 32 °C reflects this narrow uncertainty range and the influence of urban heat-island effects at official observing sites. Updated model runs and AEMET guidance tonight will likely refine the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$16,211結束日期
2026-06-15市場開放時間
Jun 13, 2026, 12:10 AM ETRecent numerical weather prediction models from agencies including the UK Met Office indicate a maximum temperature in Madrid of 31–32 °C on June 15, driven by persistent high-pressure ridging, clear skies, and strong June solar insolation over the Iberian Plateau. Ensemble guidance clusters tightly around these values, with minor spread arising from subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing, afternoon wind speeds, and the chance of isolated convective clouds that could limit peak heating by 1 °C. The market’s near-even split between 31 °C and 32 °C reflects this narrow uncertainty range and the influence of urban heat-island effects at official observing sites. Updated model runs and AEMET guidance tonight will likely refine the exact maximum before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions