Forecast models from agencies and meteorological services indicate Moscow will reach a daily maximum near 31°C on June 12, 2026, driven by a persistent warm air mass and clear skies favoring strong daytime heating. This aligns with observed trends showing temperatures 6–8°C above seasonal normals for early June, consistent with recent model runs emphasizing southerly flow and minimal cloud cover. Trader consensus at 100% for exactly 31°C reflects high confidence in official measurements meeting that threshold, though minor variations in station siting or timing of peak readings could shift the recorded high by 1°C in either direction. Updated observational data later in the day remains the key variable to monitor.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Moscow on June 12?
31°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$56,061 交易量
$56,061 交易量
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
31°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$56,061 交易量
$56,061 交易量
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jun 10, 2026, 1:10 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Forecast models from agencies and meteorological services indicate Moscow will reach a daily maximum near 31°C on June 12, 2026, driven by a persistent warm air mass and clear skies favoring strong daytime heating. This aligns with observed trends showing temperatures 6–8°C above seasonal normals for early June, consistent with recent model runs emphasizing southerly flow and minimal cloud cover. Trader consensus at 100% for exactly 31°C reflects high confidence in official measurements meeting that threshold, though minor variations in station siting or timing of peak readings could shift the recorded high by 1°C in either direction. Updated observational data later in the day remains the key variable to monitor.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions