Official measurements from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm a maximum air temperature of 28°C on June 10, 2026, recorded amid widespread cloud cover, moderate rainfall, and northeasterly winds that limited daytime heating. These conditions aligned with model guidance showing suppressed convection and reduced solar insolation, keeping values well below the June climatological average near 31°C. The 100% market-implied probability for 28°C reflects this verified observational data rather than forecasts. Unlikely challenges include post-hoc data revisions at secondary stations or reclassification of the daily maximum, though such adjustments are rare given the Observatory’s standardized protocols and real-time quality controls.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月10日香港最高溫度?
28°C 100.0%
24°C或以下 <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$344,383 交易量
$344,383 交易量
24°C或以下
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
是
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C
否
34°C或以上
否
28°C 100.0%
24°C或以下 <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$344,383 交易量
$344,383 交易量
24°C或以下
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
是
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C
否
34°C或以上
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Jun 8, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Official measurements from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm a maximum air temperature of 28°C on June 10, 2026, recorded amid widespread cloud cover, moderate rainfall, and northeasterly winds that limited daytime heating. These conditions aligned with model guidance showing suppressed convection and reduced solar insolation, keeping values well below the June climatological average near 31°C. The 100% market-implied probability for 28°C reflects this verified observational data rather than forecasts. Unlikely challenges include post-hoc data revisions at secondary stations or reclassification of the daily maximum, though such adjustments are rare given the Observatory’s standardized protocols and real-time quality controls.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions