Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for a 20°C high in Amsterdam on June 12, 2026, reflects real-time meteorological observations confirming that exact maximum under stable atmospheric conditions typical for early summer in the Netherlands. Official station data and forecast models from agencies such as KNMI align with a daytime peak near 20°C amid mild westerly flow, moderate humidity, and limited diurnal variation, consistent with long-term June climatology of roughly 19–20°C averages. Minor deviations in microclimate or measurement timing remain possible but unlikely to shift the recorded high given late-day confirmation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月12日阿姆斯特丹的最高溫度?
20°C 100.0%
13°C或以下 <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$68,335 交易量
$68,335 交易量
13°C或以下
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
是
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C或更高
否
20°C 100.0%
13°C或以下 <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$68,335 交易量
$68,335 交易量
13°C或以下
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
是
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C或更高
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jun 10, 2026, 1:05 AM ET
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for a 20°C high in Amsterdam on June 12, 2026, reflects real-time meteorological observations confirming that exact maximum under stable atmospheric conditions typical for early summer in the Netherlands. Official station data and forecast models from agencies such as KNMI align with a daytime peak near 20°C amid mild westerly flow, moderate humidity, and limited diurnal variation, consistent with long-term June climatology of roughly 19–20°C averages. Minor deviations in microclimate or measurement timing remain possible but unlikely to shift the recorded high given late-day confirmation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions