Meteorological forecasts from official monitoring agencies project a daily maximum temperature of 31°C in Chengdu on June 10, aligning with the market's 100% implied probability for that outcome. Current conditions feature typical early-summer high pressure over the Sichuan Basin, promoting clear skies and efficient daytime heating consistent with climatological norms of 28–33°C highs for the period. Numerical weather models show strong consensus on this peak, with minimal deviation expected absent rapid changes in moisture or steering flows. Resolution hinges on verified observational data from local stations, and any late-day convective development or measurement adjustment remains the primary uncertainty that could alter the final recorded high.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月10日成都最高溫度?
31°C 100.0%
25°C或以下 <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$54,868 交易量
$54,868 交易量
25°C或以下
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C或以上
<1%
31°C 100.0%
25°C或以下 <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$54,868 交易量
$54,868 交易量
25°C或以下
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jun 8, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Meteorological forecasts from official monitoring agencies project a daily maximum temperature of 31°C in Chengdu on June 10, aligning with the market's 100% implied probability for that outcome. Current conditions feature typical early-summer high pressure over the Sichuan Basin, promoting clear skies and efficient daytime heating consistent with climatological norms of 28–33°C highs for the period. Numerical weather models show strong consensus on this peak, with minimal deviation expected absent rapid changes in moisture or steering flows. Resolution hinges on verified observational data from local stations, and any late-day convective development or measurement adjustment remains the primary uncertainty that could alter the final recorded high.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions