Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies and models show Madrid reaching a daily maximum near 31°C on June 10 under mostly sunny skies with light winds and minimal cloud cover, aligning with the market's strong preference for that outcome. This exceeds the city's typical early-June average high of 28–29°C yet stays within normal seasonal variability, without signs of an extreme heat event or anomalous atmospheric patterns such as strong subsidence or warm-air advection. Ensemble guidance exhibits tight clustering around 30–32°C, with only modest upward revisions possible from localized urban heat effects or slight model adjustments before final observations at the official Madrid station.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月10日馬德裏氣溫最高?
31°C 59%
32°C 21%
30°C 13%
29°C 1.4%
$21,347 交易量
$21,347 交易量
27°C或以下
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
13%
31°C
59%
32°C
21%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C或更高
<1%
31°C 59%
32°C 21%
30°C 13%
29°C 1.4%
$21,347 交易量
$21,347 交易量
27°C或以下
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
13%
31°C
59%
32°C
21%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jun 8, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies and models show Madrid reaching a daily maximum near 31°C on June 10 under mostly sunny skies with light winds and minimal cloud cover, aligning with the market's strong preference for that outcome. This exceeds the city's typical early-June average high of 28–29°C yet stays within normal seasonal variability, without signs of an extreme heat event or anomalous atmospheric patterns such as strong subsidence or warm-air advection. Ensemble guidance exhibits tight clustering around 30–32°C, with only modest upward revisions possible from localized urban heat effects or slight model adjustments before final observations at the official Madrid station.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions