Current National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts for Austin indicate a daytime high near 93–94°F on June 11 under partly sunny skies with light southerly winds, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward the 92–95°F bins. This positioning reflects near-normal early-June climatology, where the long-term average high reaches 93.2°F amid rising seasonal solar heating and typical subtropical moisture. Recent regional conditions show no strong heat dome or frontal passage to push extremes higher, keeping probabilities for 96°F or above low while limiting downside risk below 90°F. Official observations tomorrow from stations such as Camp Mabry will resolve the market once the daily maximum is recorded.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Austin on June 11?
92-93°F 41%
94-95°F 30%
90-91°F 15%
96-97°F 9%
85°F or below
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
4%
90-91°F
15%
92-93°F
41%
94-95°F
30%
96-97°F
9%
98-99°F
1%
100-101°F
1%
102-103°F
<1%
104°F or higher
<1%
92-93°F 41%
94-95°F 30%
90-91°F 15%
96-97°F 9%
85°F or below
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
4%
90-91°F
15%
92-93°F
41%
94-95°F
30%
96-97°F
9%
98-99°F
1%
100-101°F
1%
102-103°F
<1%
104°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jun 9, 2026, 9:06 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts for Austin indicate a daytime high near 93–94°F on June 11 under partly sunny skies with light southerly winds, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward the 92–95°F bins. This positioning reflects near-normal early-June climatology, where the long-term average high reaches 93.2°F amid rising seasonal solar heating and typical subtropical moisture. Recent regional conditions show no strong heat dome or frontal passage to push extremes higher, keeping probabilities for 96°F or above low while limiting downside risk below 90°F. Official observations tomorrow from stations such as Camp Mabry will resolve the market once the daily maximum is recorded.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions