Official meteorological stations in Sao Paulo recorded a daily maximum temperature of 24°C on June 9, establishing the outcome that now carries a 100% market-implied probability. This reading reflects standard winter conditions in the Southern Hemisphere, where subtropical high pressure and reduced solar insolation typically limit highs to the low-to-mid 20s Celsius. No anomalous warm-air advection or urban heat-island effects pushed readings higher, and model consensus from regional forecasts aligned closely with the eventual observation. While final quality-controlled data from Brazil’s national weather service could theoretically be revised, historical precedent shows such adjustments rarely exceed 1°C for urban stations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月9日聖保羅的最高溫度?
24°C 100.0%
19°C或以下 <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$52,661 交易量
$52,661 交易量
19°C或以下
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
是
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C或更高
否
24°C 100.0%
19°C或以下 <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$52,661 交易量
$52,661 交易量
19°C或以下
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
是
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C或更高
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jun 7, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Official meteorological stations in Sao Paulo recorded a daily maximum temperature of 24°C on June 9, establishing the outcome that now carries a 100% market-implied probability. This reading reflects standard winter conditions in the Southern Hemisphere, where subtropical high pressure and reduced solar insolation typically limit highs to the low-to-mid 20s Celsius. No anomalous warm-air advection or urban heat-island effects pushed readings higher, and model consensus from regional forecasts aligned closely with the eventual observation. While final quality-controlled data from Brazil’s national weather service could theoretically be revised, historical precedent shows such adjustments rarely exceed 1°C for urban stations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions