Recent forecast models from sources like the Met Office and AccuWeather point to a maximum of 16–18°C in São Paulo on June 15, driven by a cool winter air mass and possible rain from an advancing frontal system that limits daytime heating. June climatology features typical highs near 21–23°C, but current patterns show suppressed temperatures from increased cloud cover and southeasterly flow, aligning with observed conditions on June 14 around 18–22°C. This setup concentrates market-implied probabilities on 17–19°C outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of model consensus and historical winter variability rather than warmer anomalies. Updated runs or clearer skies could shift the distribution before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月15日聖保羅的最高溫度？
6月15日聖保羅的最高溫度？
18°C 43%
19°C 27%
17°C 20%
20°C 5.9%
最新
最新
2026-06-15
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
5%
17°C
20%
18°C
43%
19°C
27%
20°C
6%
21°C
2%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
18°C 43%
19°C 27%
17°C 20%
20°C 5.9%
最新
最新
2026-06-15
13°C or below
$32 交易量
<1%
14°C
$48 交易量
<1%
15°C
$14 交易量
<1%
16°C
$136 交易量
5%
17°C
$294 交易量
20%
18°C
$244 交易量
43%
19°C
$456 交易量
27%
20°C
$104 交易量
6%
21°C
$346 交易量
2%
22°C
$33 交易量
<1%
23°C or higher
$166 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources like the Met Office and AccuWeather point to a maximum of 16–18°C in São Paulo on June 15, driven by a cool winter air mass and possible rain from an advancing frontal system that limits daytime heating. June climatology features typical highs near 21–23°C, but current patterns show suppressed temperatures from increased cloud cover and southeasterly flow, aligning with observed conditions on June 14 around 18–22°C. This setup concentrates market-implied probabilities on 17–19°C outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of model consensus and historical winter variability rather than warmer anomalies. Updated runs or clearer skies could shift the distribution before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
交易量
$1,872結束日期
2026-06-15市場開放時間
Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources like the Met Office and AccuWeather point to a maximum of 16–18°C in São Paulo on June 15, driven by a cool winter air mass and possible rain from an advancing frontal system that limits daytime heating. June climatology features typical highs near 21–23°C, but current patterns show suppressed temperatures from increased cloud cover and southeasterly flow, aligning with observed conditions on June 14 around 18–22°C. This setup concentrates market-implied probabilities on 17–19°C outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of model consensus and historical winter variability rather than warmer anomalies. Updated runs or clearer skies could shift the distribution before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,872結束日期
2026-06-15市場開放時間
Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ETRecent forecast models from sources like the Met Office and AccuWeather point to a maximum of 16–18°C in São Paulo on June 15, driven by a cool winter air mass and possible rain from an advancing frontal system that limits daytime heating. June climatology features typical highs near 21–23°C, but current patterns show suppressed temperatures from increased cloud cover and southeasterly flow, aligning with observed conditions on June 14 around 18–22°C. This setup concentrates market-implied probabilities on 17–19°C outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of model consensus and historical winter variability rather than warmer anomalies. Updated runs or clearer skies could shift the distribution before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions